Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 38.76%. A win for Sheffield United had a probability of 35.07% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.44%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Sheffield United win was 1-0 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Sheffield United would win this match.