Championship

Championship | Gameweek 9

Oct 5, 2024 at 3pm UK

Swansea.com Stadium

Swansea
0 - 0
Stoke

Burger (14'), Moran (63'), Wilmot (90+8'), Gibson (90+10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Swansea City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Sheff Utd 1-0 Swansea
Wednesday, October 2 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Stoke City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Stoke 6-1 Portsmouth
Wednesday, October 2 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 47.73%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 27.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (7.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
Swansea City	Draw	Stoke City
47.73% ( 0.1)	24.92% ( -0.05)	27.35% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 54.16% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.37% (

0.17)

48.63% (

-0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.25% (

0.16)

70.75% (

-0.16)

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.59% (

0.11)

20.41% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.15% (

0.18)

52.85% (

-0.18)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.05% (

0.05)

31.95% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.59% (

0.05)

68.4% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Swansea City 47.73%

Stoke City 27.35%

Draw 24.91%

Swansea City	Draw	Stoke City
1-0 @ 10.36% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.4% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.23% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.98% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.98% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.73% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.13% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.72% Total : 47.73%	1-1 @ 11.82% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 6.52% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.91%	0-1 @ 7.44% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.75% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.25% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.57% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.7% Total : 27.35%