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Championship | Gameweek 4
Aug 31, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Hawthorns
Swansea logo

West Brom
1 - 0
Swansea

Molumby (45+1', 45+1')
Molumby (10'), Molumby (10'), Ajayi (20'), Ajayi (20'), Heggem (36'), Heggem (36'), Tymon (87')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between West Bromwich Albion and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swansea 0-1 Wycombe
Wednesday, August 28 at 7.45pm in EFL Cup

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 41.88%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 32.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.86%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for West Bromwich Albion in this match.

Result
West Bromwich AlbionDrawSwansea City
41.88% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)25.51% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)32.61% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
Both teams to score 55.17% (0.071999999999996 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.35% (0.085999999999999 0.09)48.65% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.23% (0.079000000000001 0.08)70.77% (-0.075999999999993 -0.08)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.91% (0.027000000000001 0.03)23.09% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.07% (0.039999999999999 0.04)56.93% (-0.038999999999994 -0.04)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.73% (0.067999999999998 0.07)28.27% (-0.065999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.01% (0.085000000000001 0.09)63.99% (-0.083000000000006 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    West Bromwich Albion 41.88%
    Swansea City 32.61%
    Draw 25.5%
West Bromwich AlbionDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 9.57% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-1 @ 8.86% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.01% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-1 @ 4.33% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 3.43% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.73% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.59% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.26%
4-2 @ 1% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 41.88%
1-1 @ 12.08% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.53% (-0.022 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.6% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.15% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.5%
0-1 @ 8.25% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.64% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.21% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 3.22% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.36% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.19% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.02% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 32.61%

How you voted: West Brom vs Swansea

West Bromwich Albion
76.0%
Draw
16.0%
Swansea City
8.0%
50
Head to Head
Jan 1, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 26
Swansea
1-0
West Brom
Cullen (55')
Cabango (18'), Tymon (49')
Aug 12, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 2
West Brom
3-2
Swansea
Ajayi (18'), Rushworth (50' og.), Swift (64' pen.)
Furlong (39'), Corberan Vallet (40'), Palmer (90+8'), Chalobah (90+7')
Darling (74'), Wood (80')
Cabango (48'), Cooper (57'), Darling (62'), Wood (71')
May 8, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 46
Swansea
3-2
West Brom
Cundle (26'), Ntcham (66'), Piroe (90+3')
Yokuslu (13'), Ajayi (54')
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 12
West Brom
2-3
Swansea
Livermore (48'), Diangana (65')
Sorinola (6'), Ntcham (71'), Obafemi (89')
Feb 28, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 35
West Brom
0-2
Swansea
Piroe (79'), Christie (84')
Downes (33'), Cabango (64')