Championship

Championship | Gameweek 11

Oct 22, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Britannia Stadium

Stoke
2 - 2
Bristol City

Koumas (2'), Moran (14')
Bae (45+1'), Moran (74'), Thompson (90+3')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Wells (50', 52')
Williams (51')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stoke City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Stoke 1-1 Norwich
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Bristol City

All competitions

Last Game: Middlesbrough 0-2 Bristol City
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 48.28%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 27.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Stoke City	Draw	Bristol City
48.28% ( -0.3)	24.25% ( -0.03)	27.46% ( 0.33)

Both teams to score 56.42% (

0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.3% (

0.35)

45.69% (

-0.35)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.98% (

0.33)

68.02% (

-0.33)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.98% (

0.01)

19.02% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.42% (

0.02)

50.58% (

-0.02)

Bristol City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.66% (

0.43)

30.33% (

-0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.48% (

0.51)

66.52% (

-0.51)

Score Analysis

Stoke City 48.28%

Bristol City 27.46%

Draw 24.25%

Stoke City	Draw	Bristol City
1-0 @ 9.57% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 9.48% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.95% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 5.25% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.4% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 3.13% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.18% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.83% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.21% Total : 48.28%	1-1 @ 11.42% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.77% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.25%	0-1 @ 6.88% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 6.81% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 4.1% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.71% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.08% Total : 27.46%