Championship Gameweek 11
Stoke
Oct 22, 2024 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT Britannia Stadium
Bristol City
  • Lewis Koumas 2' goal
  • Andy Moran 14' goal
  • Joon-Ho Bae 45'+1' yellowcard
  • Andy Moran 74' yellowcard
  • Jordan Thompson 90'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Nahki Wells 50'
  • yellowcard Joe Williams 51'
  • goal Nahki Wells 52'

Stoke City vs Bristol City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Stoke City

All competitions
Last game
Oct 19, 2024 3.00pm
Stoke 1 - 1 Norwich
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Tom Cannon

Bristol City

All competitions
Last game
Oct 19, 2024 3.00pm
Middlesbrough 0 - 2 Bristol City
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Anis Mehmeti

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 48.28%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 27.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (6.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.42%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result

Stoke City 48.28% ▼ (-0.31)
Draw 24.25% ▼ (-0.03)
Bristol City 27.46% ▲ (+0.34)

Both Teams to Score: 

56.42% ▲ (+0.36)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.3% ▲ (+0.35)
Under 2.5 45.69% ▼ (-0.35)
Over 3.5 31.98% ▲ (+0.34)
Under 3.5 68.02% ▼ (-0.34)
Over 4.5 16.06% ▲ (+0.24)
Under 4.5 83.94% ▼ (-0.24)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5 80.98% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 19.02% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 49.42% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 1.5 50.58% ▼ (-0.03)

Bristol City Goals

Over 0.5 69.66% ▲ (+0.43)
Under 0.5 30.33% ▼ (-0.44)
Over 1.5 33.48% ▲ (+0.51)
Under 1.5 66.52% ▼ (-0.52)

Score analysis

Stoke City 48.28%
Draw 24.25%
Bristol City 27.46%
Stoke City
1-0 @ 9.57% ▼ (-0.15)
2-1 @ 9.48% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 7.95% ▼ (-0.12)
3-1 @ 5.25% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.4% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 3.13% ▲ (+0.04)
4-1 @ 2.18% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.83% ▼ (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.3% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.21%
Total : 48.28%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.42% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 5.77% ▼ (-0.09)
2-2 @ 5.65% ▲ (+0.06)
3-3 @ 1.24% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.25%
Bristol City
0-1 @ 6.88% ▼ (-0.03)
1-2 @ 6.81% ▲ (+0.07)
0-2 @ 4.1% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 2.71% ▲ (+0.06)
2-3 @ 2.25% ▲ (+0.05)
0-3 @ 1.63% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 27.46%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 46
Stoke
May 4, 2024 12.30pm
4
0
HT : 3 0
FT Bet365 Stadium
Bristol City
  • Luke Cundle 25' goal
  • Tyrese Campbell 45' goal
  • Million Manhoef 45'+2' goal
  • Million Manhoef 49' goal
Championship Gameweek 9
Bristol City
Sep 30, 2023 3.00pm
2
3
HT : 4 2
FT Ashton Gate Stadium
Stoke
  • Sam Bell 5' goal
  • Sam Bell 5' goal
  • Nahki Wells 15' goal
  • Nahki Wells 15' goal
  • Andreas Weimann 90'+6' yellowcard
  • Andreas Weimann 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Mehdi Leris 20'
  • goal Mehdi Leris 20'
  • goal Sead Haksabanovic 47'
  • goal Sead Haksabanovic 47'
  • goal Nathan Lowe 89'
  • goal Nathan Lowe 89'
  • yellowcard Junior Tchamadeu 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Junior Tchamadeu 90'+5'
Championship Gameweek 40
Stoke
Apr 7, 2023 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Bet365 Stadium
Bristol City
  • Nick Powell 36' goal
  • goal Zak Vyner 72'
  • goal Anis Mehmeti 85'
Championship Gameweek 23
Bristol City
Dec 17, 2022 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Ashton Gate Stadium
Stoke
  • Nahki Wells 33' goal
  • goal Liam Delap 45'+2'
  • goal Jacob Brown 57'
Championship Gameweek 42
Stoke
Apr 15, 2022 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Bristol City
  • Jacob Brown 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Steven Fletcher 45'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Daniel Bentley 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Joe Williams 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Rob Atkinson 76'
  • yellowcard Chris Martin 80'
  • goal Jay Dasilva 84'
Championship Gameweek 19
Bristol City
Nov 24, 2021 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Stoke
  • Callum O'Dowda 2' yellowcard
  • Tyreeq Bakinson 38' goal
  • Alex Scott 68' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joe Allen 42'
  • yellowcard Josh Tymon 79'
  • redcard Joe Allen 90'+6'

Form Data

Stoke 1 - 1 Norwich
Swansea 0 - 0 Stoke
Stoke 6 - 1 Portsmouth
Middlesbrough 2 - 0 Stoke
Stoke 1 - 3 Hull City
Stoke 1 - 1 Fleetwood
Middlesbrough 0 - 2 Bristol City
Bristol City 1 - 1 Cardiff
Bristol City 0 - 0 Sheff Weds
Swansea 1 - 1 Bristol City
Bristol City 2 - 1 Oxford Utd
Blackburn 3 - 0 Bristol City