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Eiran Cashin
38'
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Curtis Nelson
54'
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Marcus Harness
55'
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Jimmy Dunne
90'+6'
Derby County vs Queens Park Rangers - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 44.26%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 29% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Derby County Goals
Queens Park Rangers Goals
Score analysis
2-1 @ 8.85% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 8.22% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.12% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 3.83% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.22% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.44% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 44.26%
0-0 @ 8.43% ▲ (+0.04)
2-2 @ 4.77% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 26.74%
1-2 @ 6.83% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 4.89% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.45%
0-3 @ 1.75% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 29%
Tom Lawrence
90'+8'