Championship

Championship | Gameweek 9

Oct 5, 2024 at 3pm UK

Pride Park Stadium

Derby
2 - 0
QPR

Nelson (54'), Harness (55')
Cashin (38')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Dunne (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Derby County and Queens Park Rangers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Sunderland 2-0 Derby
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Queens Park Rangers

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: QPR 1-3 Hull City
Tuesday, October 1 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 44.26%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 29% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.85%) and 2-0 (8.22%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 0-1 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.

Result
Derby County	Draw	Queens Park Rangers
44.26% ( -0.07)	26.75% ( 0.03)	29% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 49.62% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.95% (

-0.09)

55.06% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.68% (

-0.08)

76.32% (

0.08)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.27% (

-0.08)

24.74% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.71% (

-0.11)

59.29% (

0.11)

Queens Park Rangers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.93% (

-0.01)

34.07% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.25% (

-0.02)

70.75% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Derby County 44.26%

Queens Park Rangers 29%

Draw 26.74%

Derby County	Draw	Queens Park Rangers
1-0 @ 11.77% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.85% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.22% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.12% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.83% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.44% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.34% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.46% Total : 44.26%	1-1 @ 12.67% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.43% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.88% Total : 26.74%	0-1 @ 9.07% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.83% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.89% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.45% 0-3 @ 1.75% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( -0) Other @ 2.3% Total : 29%