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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 41.63%. A win for Hull City had a probability of 32.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.83%) and 2-0 (6.95%). The likeliest Hull City win was 0-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Derby County | Draw | Hull City |
| 41.63% ( | 25.5% ( | 32.87% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.29% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.46% | 48.53% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.34% ( | 70.66% ( |
| Derby County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.83% ( | 23.16% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.96% ( | 57.04% ( |
| Hull City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.95% ( | 28.04% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.3% ( | 63.7% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Derby County | Draw | Hull City |
| 1-0 @ 9.5% ( 2-1 @ 8.83% ( 2-0 @ 6.95% ( 3-1 @ 4.31% 3-0 @ 3.39% ( 3-2 @ 2.74% 4-1 @ 1.58% 4-0 @ 1.24% ( 4-2 @ 1% Other @ 2.09% Total : 41.63% | 1-1 @ 12.07% 0-0 @ 6.5% ( 2-2 @ 5.62% 3-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.49% | 0-1 @ 8.26% 1-2 @ 7.68% 0-2 @ 5.25% ( 1-3 @ 3.25% ( 2-3 @ 2.38% 0-3 @ 2.23% 1-4 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 2.79% Total : 32.87% |