Championship

Championship | Gameweek 11

Oct 22, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

The Kassam Stadium

Oxford Utd
1 - 1
Derby

Scarlett (12')
Goodrham (19')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Mendez-Laing (55')
Osborn (38'), Elder (45+1'), Taylor (50'), Cashin (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Oxford United and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Oxford United

All competitions

Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-1 West Brom
Saturday, October 19 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Derby County

All competitions

Last Game: Millwall 1-1 Derby
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 38.67%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 34.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.8%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-0 (9.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
Oxford United	Draw	Derby County
34.61% ( -0)	26.72%	38.67% ( 0)

Both teams to score 51.68% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.66% (

-0)

53.33% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.12% (

-0)

74.88% (

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.69% (

-0)

29.3% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.73% (

-0)

65.27% (

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.1%

26.89%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.79%

62.21%

Score Analysis

Oxford United 34.61%

Derby County 38.66%

Draw 26.71%

Oxford United	Draw	Derby County
1-0 @ 9.67% 2-1 @ 7.8% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.94% 3-1 @ 3.19% 3-0 @ 2.43% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.1% 4-1 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.51% Total : 34.61%	1-1 @ 12.7% 0-0 @ 7.88% ( 0) 2-2 @ 5.12% ( -0) 3-3 @ 0.92% Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.71%	0-1 @ 10.34% 1-2 @ 8.34% 0-2 @ 6.8% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.65% 0-3 @ 2.98% 2-3 @ 2.24% 1-4 @ 1.2% 0-4 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.14% Total : 38.66%