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Championship | Gameweek 11
Oct 23, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
KCOM Stadium
Burnley logo

Hull City
1 - 1
Burnley

Simons (45')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Flemming (77')
Humphreys (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Hull City and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hull City 0-1 Sunderland
Sunday, October 20 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Weds 0-2 Burnley
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 44.06%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 30.69% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.09%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 12% likelihood.

Result
Hull CityDrawBurnley
44.06% (0.15799999999999 0.16)25.25% (0.125 0.13)30.69% (-0.282 -0.28)
Both teams to score 55.22% (-0.554 -0.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.78% (-0.661 -0.66)48.22% (0.662 0.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.62% (-0.609 -0.61)70.38% (0.61 0.61)
Hull City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.13% (-0.20599999999999 -0.21)21.87% (0.207 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.88% (-0.314 -0.31)55.12% (0.315 0.31)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.68% (-0.521 -0.52)29.32% (0.522 0.52)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.7% (-0.646 -0.65)65.3% (0.64700000000001 0.65)
Score Analysis
    Hull City 44.06%
    Burnley 30.69%
    Draw 25.24%
Hull CityDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 9.75% (0.205 0.21)
2-1 @ 9.09% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 7.41% (0.11 0.11)
3-1 @ 4.61% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-0 @ 3.75% (0.033 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.83% (-0.058 -0.06)
4-1 @ 1.75% (-0.021 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.43% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.07% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 44.06%
1-1 @ 11.95% (0.08 0.08)
0-0 @ 6.41% (0.173 0.17)
2-2 @ 5.58% (-0.079 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.16% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.24%
0-1 @ 7.87% (0.101 0.1)
1-2 @ 7.34% (-0.058 -0.06)
0-2 @ 4.83% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3% (-0.068 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.28% (-0.066 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.97% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-4 @ 0.92% (-0.035 -0.03)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 30.69%

How you voted: Hull City vs Burnley

Hull City
23.5%
Draw
10.3%
Burnley
66.2%
68
Head to Head
Mar 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 37
Hull City
1-3
Burnley
Tufan (90+3')
Tella (43', 59', 73')
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Burnley
1-1
Hull City
Rodriguez (34')
Brownhill (89')
Tufan (25')
Tetteh (11'), Jones (68'), Elder (90+6')
Feb 25, 2017 3pm
Hull City
1-1
Burnley
Huddlestone (72' pen.)
Huddlestone (53')
Keane (76')
Westwood (40'), Barnes (71')
Barnes (92')
Sep 10, 2016 3pm
Feb 6, 2016 3pm