/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fswalog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fwat.png)
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Myles Peart-Harris
35'
-
Matt Grimes
40'
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Goncalo Franco
44'
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Myles Peart-Harris
79'
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Festy Ebosele
26'
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Francisco Sierralta
45'
Swansea City vs Watford - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 51.05%. A win for Watford had a probability of 24.91% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Swansea City in this match.
Result
Swansea City
51.05%
▲
(+0.06)
Draw
24.04%
▼
(-0.02)
Watford
24.91%
▼
(-0.04)
Both Teams to Score:
54.8%
▲
(+0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5
53.25%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 2.5
46.75%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 3.5
30.99%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 3.5
69.01%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 4.5
15.36%
▲
(+0.03)
Under 4.5
84.64%
▼
(-0.03)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5
81.67%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 0.5
18.33%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 1.5
50.57%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 1.5
49.43%
▼
(-0.06)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5
67.1%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
32.91%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
30.52%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
69.48%
▲
(+0.01)
Score analysis
Swansea City
51.05%
Draw
24.03%
Watford
24.91%
Swansea City
1-0
@
10.23%
▼
(-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.65% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.68% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.46% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.91% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.03% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.32% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.08% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.29% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 51.05%
2-1 @ 9.65% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.68% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.46% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.91% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.03% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.32% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.08% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.29% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 51.05%
Draw
1-1
@
11.37%
▼
(-0.02)
0-0 @ 6.03% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.36% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.12% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.03%
0-0 @ 6.03% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.36% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.12% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.03%
Watford
0-1
@
6.7%
▼
(-0.02)
1-2 @ 6.32% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.73% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.34% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.99%
0-3 @ 1.38% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 24.91%
1-2 @ 6.32% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.73% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.34% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.99%
0-3 @ 1.38% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 24.91%