MX23RW : Tuesday, December 10 02:29:35| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Championship | Gameweek 14
Nov 5, 2024 at 8pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Watford logo

Swansea
1 - 0
Watford

Peart-Harris (35')
Grimes (40'), Franco (44'), Peart-Harris (79')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Ebosele (26'), Sierralta (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-2 Swansea
Saturday, November 2 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Sheff Weds 2-6 Watford
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 1-3 Watford

The visitors have enjoyed the much better beginning to the 2024-25 campaign, and despite Swansea boasting the home advantage, we believe Watford will win this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 51.05%. A win for Watford had a probability of 24.91% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Swansea City in this match.

Result
Swansea CityDrawWatford
51.05% (0.052 0.05) 24.04% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 24.91% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 54.8% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.25% (0.044999999999995 0.04)46.75% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.99% (0.042999999999999 0.04)69.01% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.67% (0.036000000000001 0.04)18.33% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.57% (0.063000000000002 0.06)49.43% (-0.059999999999995 -0.06)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.1% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)32.91% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.52% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)69.48% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 51.05%
    Watford 24.91%
    Draw 24.03%
Swansea CityDrawWatford
1-0 @ 10.23% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.65% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 8.68% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 5.46% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.91% (0.008 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.03% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.32% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.08% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.29% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 51.05%
1-1 @ 11.37% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.03% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.36% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.12% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.03%
0-1 @ 6.7% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.32% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.73% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.34% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.99%
0-3 @ 1.38% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 24.91%

How you voted: Swansea vs Watford

Swansea City
19.5%
Draw
18.4%
Watford
62.1%
87
Head to Head
Mar 6, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 36
Watford
1-1
Swansea
Porteous (57')
Chakvetadze (45+1'), Livermore (45+3'), Andrews (67'), Porteous (83')
Andrews (18' og.)
Tymon (32'), Wood (36')
Oct 24, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Swansea
0-1
Watford
Sema (82')
Livermore (30'), Hoedt (73'), Kayembe (86')
Dec 30, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Swansea
4-0
Watford
Piroe (39', 78'), Cullen (74'), Latibeaudiere (87')
Oct 5, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Watford
1-2
Swansea
Sarr (34')
Ntcham (52'), Cabango (90+8')
May 8, 2021 12.30pm
Gameweek 46
Watford
2-0
Swansea
Gray (56'), Success (87')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd19125227111639
2Leeds UnitedLeeds19115333132038
3Burnley1910722471737
4Sunderland19106328141436
5Middlesbrough1994633221131
6Blackburn RoversBlackburn189452217531
7Watford189362624230
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom1961122114729
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds197572328-526
10Norwich CityNorwich196763530525
11Millwall186752016425
12Bristol City196762424025
13Swansea CitySwansea196671918124
14Coventry CityCoventry195682527-221
15Stoke CityStoke195682024-421
16Derby CountyDerby195592226-420
17Preston North EndPreston1931061826-819
18Luton TownLuton1954102134-1319
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd184682028-818
20Queens Park RangersQPR193971826-818
21Cardiff CityCardiff184591728-1117
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth184591838-2017
23Portsmouth173772130-916
24Hull City1936101727-1015


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