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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 38.99%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 34.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.48%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-0 (9.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Swansea City would win this match.
Result | ||
Oxford United | Draw | Swansea City |
34.92% ( -0.4) | 26.09% ( -0.02) | 38.99% ( 0.42) |
Both teams to score 53.78% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.31% ( 0.05) | 50.68% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.41% ( 0.05) | 72.58% ( -0.05) |
Oxford United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.18% ( -0.22) | 27.82% ( 0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.58% ( -0.28) | 63.41% ( 0.27) |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.51% ( 0.25) | 25.49% ( -0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.67% ( 0.34) | 60.32% ( -0.34) |
Score Analysis |
Oxford United | Draw | Swansea City |
1-0 @ 9.07% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 7.93% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 5.8% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 3.38% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 2.48% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.31% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.08% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.86% Total : 34.92% | 1-1 @ 12.4% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.09% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.09% | 0-1 @ 9.69% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 8.48% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 6.63% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 3.86% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 3.02% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.32% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.49% Total : 38.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 9 | 16 | 38 |
2 | Burnley | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 24 | 7 | 17 | 37 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 35 |
4 | Sunderland | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 33 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 31 |
6 | Watford | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 30 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 18 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 28 |
8 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 28 |
9 | Norwich CityNorwich | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 27 | 8 | 25 |
10 | Millwall | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 25 |
11 | Bristol City | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 25 |
12 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 25 |
13 | Swansea CitySwansea | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 23 |
14 | Stoke CityStoke | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Derby CountyDerby | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 20 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 18 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 18 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 18 |
20 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 38 | -20 | 17 |
22 | Hull City | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 15 |
24 | Portsmouth | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 13 |
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