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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 48.25%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 24.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.82%) and 2-1 (8.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.69%), while for a Millwall win it was 0-1 (9.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Swansea City | Draw | Millwall |
| 48.25% | 27.49% ( | 24.26% ( |
| Both teams to score 44.14% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.62% ( | 60.38% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.47% ( | 80.52% ( |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.83% ( | 25.17% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.11% ( | 59.89% ( |
| Millwall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.98% ( | 41.01% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.43% ( | 77.57% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Swansea City | Draw | Millwall |
| 1-0 @ 14.24% ( 2-0 @ 9.82% ( 2-1 @ 8.76% ( 3-0 @ 4.52% 3-1 @ 4.03% ( 3-2 @ 1.79% ( 4-0 @ 1.56% ( 4-1 @ 1.39% ( Other @ 2.15% Total : 48.25% | 1-1 @ 12.69% 0-0 @ 10.32% ( 2-2 @ 3.9% ( Other @ 0.58% Total : 27.49% | 0-1 @ 9.2% ( 1-2 @ 5.66% ( 0-2 @ 4.1% ( 1-3 @ 1.68% ( 0-3 @ 1.22% ( 2-3 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 1.24% Total : 24.26% |