Championship

Championship | Gameweek 12

Oct 26, 2024 at 3pm UK

Stadium of Light

Sunderland
2 - 0
Oxford Utd

Bellingham (16'), Isidor (63')
Mepham (23'), Isidor (37')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Scarlett (51'), Sibley (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Sunderland and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sunderland

All competitions

Last Game: Luton 1-2 Sunderland
Wednesday, October 23 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Oxford United

All competitions

Last Game: Oxford Utd 1-1 Derby
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 52.12%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 23.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.68%) and 2-0 (9.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Oxford United win it was 0-1 (6.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.

Result
Sunderland	Draw	Oxford United
52.12% ( -0.2)	24.11% ( 0.06)	23.77% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 53.3% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.86% (

-0.12)

48.13% (

0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.71% (

-0.11)

70.29% (

0.11)

Sunderland Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.55% (

-0.12)

18.44% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.38% (

-0.2)

49.62% (

0.21)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.36% (

0.06)

34.64% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.63% (

0.07)

71.36% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Sunderland 52.12%

Oxford United 23.77%

Draw 24.11%

Sunderland	Draw	Oxford United
1-0 @ 10.8% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.68% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.13% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.45% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 5.14% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.89% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.3% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.17% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.32% Total : 52.12%	1-1 @ 11.45% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 6.39% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 24.11%	0-1 @ 6.77% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.07% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 3.59% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.11% Total : 23.77%