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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 42.94%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 30.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 1-0 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Swansea City | Draw | Leeds United |
| 30.59% ( | 26.47% ( | 42.94% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.28% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.69% ( | 53.31% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.14% ( | 74.86% ( |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.02% ( | 31.98% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.56% ( | 68.44% ( |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.38% ( | 24.61% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.88% ( | 59.12% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Swansea City | Draw | Leeds United |
| 1-0 @ 8.97% ( 2-1 @ 7.17% ( 2-0 @ 5.12% ( 3-1 @ 2.73% ( 3-0 @ 1.94% ( 3-2 @ 1.91% ( Other @ 2.75% Total : 30.59% | 1-1 @ 12.58% ( 0-0 @ 7.87% ( 2-2 @ 5.03% ( Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.47% | 0-1 @ 11.03% ( 1-2 @ 8.82% ( 0-2 @ 7.73% ( 1-3 @ 4.12% ( 0-3 @ 3.61% ( 2-3 @ 2.35% ( 1-4 @ 1.44% ( 0-4 @ 1.27% ( Other @ 2.56% Total : 42.94% |