Championship Gameweek 16
Nov 24, 2024 3.00pm
3
4
HT : 2 1
FT Swansea.com Stadium
  • Harry Darling 8' goal
  • Liam Cullen 45'+3' goal
  • Florian Bianchini 90' goal
  • Myles Peart-Harris 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Manor Solomon 20'
  • yellowcard Daniel James 53'
  • goal Ben Cabango 55' (OG)
  • yellowcard Sam Byram 57'
  • goal Manor Solomon 73'
  • goal Willy Gnonto 90'+1'

Swansea City vs Leeds United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Swansea City

All competitions
Last game
Nov 10, 2024 3.00pm
Burnley 1 - 0 Swansea
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Liam Cullen

Leeds United

All competitions
Last game
Nov 9, 2024 3.00pm
Leeds 2 - 0 QPR
Goals scored
95
Top scorer
Joel Piroe

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 42.94%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 30.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 1-0 (8.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result

Swansea City 30.59% ▲ (+4.24)
Draw 26.47% ▲ (+2.28)
Leeds United 42.94% ▼ (-6.51)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.28% ▼ (-4.41)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.69% ▼ (-7.09)
Under 2.5 53.31% ▲ (+7.09)
Over 3.5 25.14% ▼ (-6.34)
Under 3.5 74.86% ▲ (+6.34)
Over 4.5 11.45% ▼ (-4.26)
Under 4.5 88.55% ▲ (+4.26)

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5 68.02% ▼ (-0.53)
Under 0.5 31.98% ▲ (+0.53)
Over 1.5 31.56% ▼ (-0.60)
Under 1.5 68.44% ▲ (+0.60)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5 75.38% ▼ (-5.86)
Under 0.5 24.61% ▲ (+5.86)
Over 1.5 40.88% ▼ (-8.97)
Under 1.5 59.12% ▲ (+8.97)

Score analysis

Swansea City 30.59%
Draw 26.47%
Leeds United 42.94%
Swansea City
1-0 @ 8.97% ▲ (+2.16)
2-1 @ 7.17% ▲ (+0.57)
2-0 @ 5.12% ▲ (+1.17)
3-1 @ 2.73% ▲ (+0.18)
3-0 @ 1.94% ▲ (+0.43)
3-2 @ 1.91% ▼ (-0.23)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 30.59%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.58% ▲ (+1.17)
0-0 @ 7.87% ▲ (+1.98)
2-2 @ 5.03% ▼ (-0.50)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.47%
Leeds United
0-1 @ 11.03% ▲ (+1.16)
1-2 @ 8.82% ▼ (-0.74)
0-2 @ 7.73% ▼ (-0.53)
1-3 @ 4.12% ▼ (-1.22)
0-3 @ 3.61% ▼ (-1.00)
2-3 @ 2.35% ▼ (-0.74)
1-4 @ 1.44% ▼ (-0.79)
0-4 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.67)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 42.94%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 32
Feb 13, 2024 7.45pm
0
4
HT : 0 3
FT Swansea.com Stadium
  • Nathan Wood 28' yellowcard
  • Josh Tymon 42' yellowcard
  • Joe Allen 68' yellowcard
  • goal Crysencio Summerville 8'
  • goal Joel Piroe 10'
  • goal Willy Gnonto 35'
  • yellowcard Joel Piroe 65'
  • goal Willy Gnonto 72'
Championship Gameweek 18
Nov 29, 2023 7.45pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT Elland Road
  • Joel Piroe 4' goal
  • Georginio Rutter 45'+3' goal
  • Daniel James 61' goal
  • goal Jamie Paterson 1'
  • yellowcard Jamal Lowe 73'
Championship Gameweek 43
Jul 12, 2020 1.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Liberty Stadium
  • Rhian Brewster 29' yellowcard
  • Jay Fulton 33' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mateusz Klich 31'
  • yellowcard Jack Harrison 75'
  • goal Pablo Hernandez 89'
  • yellowcard Pablo Hernandez 90'
Championship Gameweek 6
Aug 31, 2019 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Ezgjan Alioski 21' yellowcard
  • Kalvin Phillips 95' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jay Fulton 78'
  • goal Wayne Routledge 90'
  • yellowcard George Byers 95'
Championship Gameweek 32
Feb 13, 2019 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Elland Road (Leeds, West Yorkshire)
  • Pontus Jansson 20' goal
  • Jack Harrison 34' goal
  • Jack Harrison 94' yellowcard
  • goal Ollie McBurnie 87'
Championship Gameweek 4
Aug 21, 2018 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT Liberty Stadium (Swansea)
  • Ollie McBurnie 24' goal
  • Ollie McBurnie 51' goal
  • yellowcard Kalvin Phillips 13'
  • yellowcard Kemar Roofe 27'
  • yellowcard Lewis Baker 37'
  • goal Kemar Roofe 40'
  • goal Pablo Hernandez 79'
  • yellowcard Samuel Saiz 89'