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Championship | Gameweek 15
Nov 10, 2024 at 3pm UK
Turf Moor
Swansea logo

Burnley
1 - 0
Swansea

Rodriguez (90+4' pen.)
Cullen (32')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Pereira Martins (61'), Cullen (86'), Cabango (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Burnley and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: West Brom 0-0 Burnley
Thursday, November 7 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 1-0 Watford
Tuesday, November 5 at 8pm in Championship

We said: Burnley 2-1 Swansea City

This has all the makings of a competitive fixture now that Swansea have found some form at the same time as Burnley have lost their way. Nevertheless, Parker is aware that he must change something to instigate a turnaround, which may lead to a late victory at Turf Moor. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 49.59%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 25.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Burnley in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Burnley.

Result
BurnleyDrawSwansea City
49.59% (0.00099999999999767 0) 24.43% (0.0010000000000012 0) 25.97% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Both teams to score 54.54% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)47.57% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.22% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)69.78% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.78% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)19.22% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.08% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)50.92% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.52%32.48% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)69% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Burnley 49.59%
    Swansea City 25.97%
    Draw 24.43%
BurnleyDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 10.29%
2-1 @ 9.55%
2-0 @ 8.49%
3-1 @ 5.25% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 4.67%
3-2 @ 2.95%
4-1 @ 2.16%
4-0 @ 1.92%
4-2 @ 1.22%
Other @ 3.09%
Total : 49.59%
1-1 @ 11.57%
0-0 @ 6.24% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.37% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.43%
0-1 @ 7.02% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-2 @ 6.51%
0-2 @ 3.95% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-3 @ 2.44%
2-3 @ 2.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.48%
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 25.97%

How you voted: Burnley vs Swansea

Burnley
63.0%
Draw
15.2%
Swansea City
21.7%
46
Head to Head
Jan 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 26
Swansea
1-2
Burnley
Cooper (27')
Maatsen (13', 22')
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 15
Burnley
4-0
Swansea
Vitinho (15'), Rodriguez (29', 57'), Zaroury (45+3')
Feb 10, 2018 3pm
Nov 18, 2017 3pm
Burnley
2-0
Swansea
Cork (29'), Barnes (39')
Ward (17')

Dyer (97')
Mar 4, 2017 3pm
Swansea
3-2
Burnley
Llorente (13', 92'), Olsson (70')
Fer (57'), Cork (85')
Gray (20' pen., 61')
Ward (9'), Mee (54')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1812422591638
2Burnley1810622361736
3Leeds UnitedLeeds18105331131835
4Sunderland1896326131333
5Middlesbrough1893632211130
6Watford189362624230
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom1861021912728
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn178452117428
9Norwich CityNorwich186753527825
10Millwall176742015525
11Bristol City186752421325
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds187472227-525
13Swansea CitySwansea186571817123
14Stoke CityStoke185671922-321
15Derby CountyDerby185582224-220
16Coventry CityCoventry184682427-318
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd184682028-818
18Preston North EndPreston183961725-818
19Luton TownLuton1853102033-1318
20Cardiff CityCardiff184591728-1117
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth184591838-2017
22Hull City183691726-915
23Queens Park RangersQPR182971526-1115
24Portsmouth162771830-1213


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