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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 49.59%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 25.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.49%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Burnley in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Burnley.
| Result | ||
| Burnley | Draw | Swansea City |
| 49.59% ( | 24.43% ( | 25.97% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.54% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.43% ( | 47.57% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.22% ( | 69.78% ( |
| Burnley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.78% ( | 19.22% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.08% ( | 50.92% ( |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.52% | 32.48% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31% ( | 69% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Burnley | Draw | Swansea City |
| 1-0 @ 10.29% 2-1 @ 9.55% 2-0 @ 8.49% 3-1 @ 5.25% ( 3-0 @ 4.67% 3-2 @ 2.95% 4-1 @ 2.16% 4-0 @ 1.92% 4-2 @ 1.22% Other @ 3.09% Total : 49.59% | 1-1 @ 11.57% 0-0 @ 6.24% ( 2-2 @ 5.37% ( 3-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.43% | 0-1 @ 7.02% ( 1-2 @ 6.51% 0-2 @ 3.95% ( 1-3 @ 2.44% 2-3 @ 2.01% ( 0-3 @ 1.48% Other @ 2.56% Total : 25.97% |