Championship Gameweek 13
Nov 3, 2024 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT The Den
  • Jake Cooper 21' yellowcard
  • Joe Bryan 23' yellowcard
  • Jake Cooper 52' goal
  • yellowcard Jeremy Sarmiento 88'
  • yellowcard Hannibal Mejbri 90'+7'

Millwall vs Burnley - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Millwall

All competitions
Last game
Oct 26, 2024 3.00pm
Swansea 0 - 1 Millwall
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Mihailo Ivanovic

Burnley

All competitions
Last game
Oct 26, 2024 3.00pm
Burnley 0 - 0 QPR
Goals scored
69
Top scorer
Josh Brownhill

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 44.89%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 27.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.8%) and 2-1 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.91%), while for a Burnley win it was 0-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Millwall in this match.

Result

Millwall 44.89% (-0.36)
Draw 27.66% (+0.21)
Burnley 27.45% (+0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.12% (-0.47)

Goals

Over 2.5 40.91% (-0.65)
Under 2.5 59.09% (+0.65)
Over 3.5 20.46% (-0.51)
Under 3.5 79.54% (+0.50)
Over 4.5 8.6% (-0.30)
Under 4.5 91.4% (+0.29)

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5 73.76% (-0.48)
Under 0.5 26.24% (+0.48)
Over 1.5 38.66% (-0.64)
Under 1.5 61.34% (+0.64)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5 62.52% (-0.24)
Under 0.5 37.48% (+0.24)
Over 1.5 25.74% (-0.23)
Under 1.5 74.26% (+0.23)

Score analysis

Millwall 44.89%
Draw 27.65%
Burnley 27.45%
Millwall
1-0 @ 13.15% (+0.15)
2-0 @ 8.8% (-0.03)
2-1 @ 8.64% (-0.08)
3-0 @ 3.93% (-0.07)
3-1 @ 3.85% (-0.09)
3-2 @ 1.89% (-0.06)
4-0 @ 1.31% (-0.04)
4-1 @ 1.29% (-0.05)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 44.89%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.91% (+0.07)
0-0 @ 9.83% (+0.24)
2-2 @ 4.24% (-0.07)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 27.65%
Burnley
0-1 @ 9.65% (+0.18)
1-2 @ 6.34% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.74% (+0.06)
1-3 @ 2.07% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.55% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.39% (-0.04)
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 27.45%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 29
Feb 21, 2023 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Den
  • Tom Bradshaw 85' goal
  • goal Ashley Barnes 51'
Championship Gameweek 7
Aug 30, 2022 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Turf Moor
  • Vitinho 62' goal
  • Jay Rodriguez 72' goal
EFL Cup
Sep 23, 2020 7.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT The Den
  • goal Josh Brownhill 45'
  • yellowcard Josh Brownhill 53'
  • yellowcard Bobby Thomas 56'
  • yellowcard Ashley Westwood 78'
  • goal Matej Vydra 90'+3'
Championship
Feb 8, 2014 3.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Danny Ings 29' goal
  • Danny Ings 39' yellowcard
  • Dean Marney 47' goal
  • Danny Ings 62' goal
  • yellowcard Ed Upson 24'
  • goal Martyn Woolford 27'
  • yellowcard Paul Robinson 89'
Championship
Nov 2, 2013 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Scott McDonald 23' goal
  • Danny Shittu 38' goal
  • Nicky Bailey 66' yellowcard
  • Scott McDonald 70' yellowcard
  • goal Sam Vokes 39'
  • goal Shane Lowry 55' (OG)
  • yellowcard David Edgar 62'
  • yellowcard Sam Vokes 66'
  • yellowcard Brian Stock 89'
Championship
Jan 19, 2013 3.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Sam Vokes 19'
  • goal Danny Ings 59'
  • yellowcard Sam Vokes 77'
  • yellowcard Danny Ings 80'