Championship

Championship | Gameweek 13

Nov 3, 2024 at 3pm UK

The Den

Millwall
1 - 0
Burnley

Cooper (52')
Cooper (21'), Bryan (23')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Sarmiento (88'), Mejbri (90+7')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Millwall and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Millwall

All competitions

Last Game: Swansea 0-1 Millwall
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Burnley

All competitions

Last Game: Burnley 0-0 QPR
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 44.89%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Burnley had a probability of 27.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.8%) and 2-1 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.91%), while for a Burnley win it was 0-1 (9.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Millwall in this match.

Result
Millwall	Draw	Burnley
44.89% ( -0.35)	27.66% ( 0.2)	27.45% ( 0.15)

Both teams to score 46.12% (

-0.47)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.91% (

-0.64)

59.09% (

0.64)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.46% (

-0.5)

79.54% (

0.5)

Millwall Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.76% (

-0.47)

26.24% (

0.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.66% (

-0.64)

61.34% (

0.64)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.52% (

-0.23)

37.48% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.74% (

-0.23)

74.26% (

0.23)

Score Analysis

Millwall 44.89%

Burnley 27.45%

Draw 27.65%

Millwall	Draw	Burnley
1-0 @ 13.15% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 8.8% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.64% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 3.93% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 3.85% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.05) 4-0 @ 1.31% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.03% Total : 44.89%	1-1 @ 12.91% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 9.83% ( 0.24) 2-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.67% Total : 27.65%	0-1 @ 9.65% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 6.34% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.74% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.07% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.72% Total : 27.45%