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Championship | Gameweek 14
Nov 6, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
The Den
Leeds logo

Millwall
1 - 0
Leeds

Tanganga (40')
Tanganga (57'), Honeyman (64')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Firpo (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Millwall and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Burnley
Sunday, November 3 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 3-0 Plymouth
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 47.76%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 24.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.64%) and 1-2 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for a Millwall win it was 1-0 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result
MillwallDrawLeeds United
24.79% (-0.265 -0.27)27.45% (-0.177 -0.18)47.76% (0.439 0.44)
Both teams to score 44.72% (0.24 0.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.12% (0.42299999999999 0.42)59.87% (-0.42299999999999 -0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.86% (0.322 0.32)80.14% (-0.324 -0.32)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.76% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)40.23%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.13% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)76.87%
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.82% (0.405 0.41)25.17% (-0.407 -0.41)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.1% (0.556 0.56)59.9% (-0.557 -0.56)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 24.79%
    Leeds United 47.76%
    Draw 27.44%
MillwallDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 9.22% (-0.149 -0.15)
2-1 @ 5.79% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-0 @ 4.2% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-1 @ 1.76% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.27% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.21% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 24.79%
1-1 @ 12.72% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 10.12% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-2 @ 3.99% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 0.6%
Total : 27.44%
0-1 @ 13.97% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-2 @ 9.64% (0.071 0.07)
1-2 @ 8.77% (0.064 0.06)
0-3 @ 4.43% (0.082999999999999 0.08)
1-3 @ 4.03% (0.076 0.08)
2-3 @ 1.84% (0.034 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.53% (0.046 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.39% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 47.76%

How you voted: Millwall vs Leeds

Millwall
22.6%
Draw
25.8%
Leeds United
51.6%
93
Head to Head
Mar 17, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 38
Leeds
2-0
Millwall
Gnonto (33'), James (79')
Gnonto (18'), Firpo (29'), Gruev (90+2')

Cooper (18'), Flemming (25'), Leonard (53'), Honeyman (60')
Sep 17, 2023 12pm
Gameweek 6
Millwall
0-3
Leeds
Piroe (15', 77'), Rutter (81')
Jan 28, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Leeds
3-2
Millwall
Bamford (48', 66'), Hernandez (62')
Hernandez (64'), Bamford (94')
Hutchinson (4'), Wallace (23' pen.)
Woods (26')
Oct 5, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 11
Millwall
2-1
Leeds
Mar 30, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 39
Leeds
3-2
Millwall
Hernandez (34', 83'), Ayling (71')
Cooper (55'), Jansson (65'), Clarke (94')
Thompson (10'), Marshall (55' pen.)
Meredith (7'), Cooper (30'), Marshall (74'), Martin (82')
rhs 2.0


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