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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 47.76%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Millwall had a probability of 24.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.64%) and 1-2 (8.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for a Millwall win it was 1-0 (9.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Millwall | Draw | Leeds United |
| 24.79% ( | 27.45% ( | 47.76% ( |
| Both teams to score 44.72% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.12% ( | 59.87% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.86% ( | 80.14% ( |
| Millwall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.76% ( | 40.23% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.13% ( | 76.87% |
| Leeds United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.82% ( | 25.17% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.1% ( | 59.9% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Millwall | Draw | Leeds United |
| 1-0 @ 9.22% ( 2-1 @ 5.79% ( 2-0 @ 4.2% ( 3-1 @ 1.76% ( 3-0 @ 1.27% ( 3-2 @ 1.21% ( Other @ 1.34% Total : 24.79% | 1-1 @ 12.72% ( 0-0 @ 10.12% ( 2-2 @ 3.99% ( Other @ 0.6% Total : 27.44% | 0-1 @ 13.97% ( 0-2 @ 9.64% ( 1-2 @ 8.77% ( 0-3 @ 4.43% ( 1-3 @ 4.03% ( 2-3 @ 1.84% ( 0-4 @ 1.53% ( 1-4 @ 1.39% ( Other @ 2.17% Total : 47.76% |