Championship

Championship | Gameweek 17

Nov 27, 2024 at 8pm UK

Pride Park Stadium

Derby
1 - 2
Swansea

Mendez-Laing (65' pen.)
Elder (34'), Nelson (88'), Thompson (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Vipotnik (2'), Pereira Martins (14')
Peart-Harris (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Derby County and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions

Last Game: Preston 1-1 Derby
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Swansea City

All competitions

Last Game: Swansea 3-4 Leeds
Sunday, November 24 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 47.8%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 26.62% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.67%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (7.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.

Result
Derby County	Draw	Swansea City
47.8% ( -0.5)	25.58% ( 0.06)	26.62% ( 0.44)

Both teams to score 51.51% (

0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.17% (

0.07)

51.83% (

-0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.41% (

0.06)

73.59% (

-0.06)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.3% (

-0.19)

21.69% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.15% (

-0.29)

54.84% (

0.29)

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.78% (

0.4)

34.22% (

-0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.08% (

0.43)

70.92% (

-0.43)

Score Analysis

Derby County 47.79%

Swansea City 26.62%

Draw 25.57%

Derby County	Draw	Swansea City
1-0 @ 11.34% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 9.3% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.67% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 4.74% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 4.42% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.54% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.81% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.69% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0) Other @ 2.33% Total : 47.79%	1-1 @ 12.16% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 7.42% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.57%	0-1 @ 7.96% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.52% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 4.27% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.53% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.23% Total : 26.62%