Championship

Championship | Gameweek 16

Nov 23, 2024 at 3pm UK

Deepdale

Preston
1 - 1
Derby

Greenwood (23')
Greenwood (62'), McCann (87')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Yates (29')
Thompson (58'), Harness (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Preston North End and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Preston North End

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Portsmouth 3-1 Preston
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Derby County

All competitions

Last Game: Derby 1-1 Plymouth
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 39.47%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 33.8% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 1-0 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood.

Result
Preston North End	Draw	Derby County
33.8% ( 0.31)	26.72% ( 0.13)	39.47% ( -0.44)

Both teams to score 51.53% (

-0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.53% (

-0.47)

53.46% (

0.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.01% (

-0.4)

74.99% (

0.4)

Preston North End Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.12% (

-0.03)

29.88% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.02% (

-0.04)

65.97% (

0.04)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.49% (

-0.45)

26.5% (

0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.3% (

-0.61)

61.7% (

0.61)

Score Analysis

Preston North End 33.8%

Derby County 39.47%

Draw 26.72%

Preston North End	Draw	Derby County
1-0 @ 9.57% ( 0.17) 2-1 @ 7.67% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 5.78% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 3.09% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.33% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 2.38% Total : 33.8%	1-1 @ 12.7% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 7.92% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.72%	0-1 @ 10.51% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 8.43% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 6.98% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 3.73% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 3.09% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 1.03% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.2% Total : 39.47%