Championship

Championship | Gameweek 19

Dec 7, 2024 at 3.15pm UK

Kenilworth Road Stadium

Luton
1 - 1
Swansea

Adebayo (17')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Grimes (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Luton Town

All competitions

Last Game: Norwich 4-2 Luton
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Swansea City

All competitions

Last Game: Swansea 2-2 Portsmouth
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 42.39%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 31.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Luton Town	Draw	Swansea City
42.39% ( 0.02)	26.35% ( 0.02)	31.26% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 51.94% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.41% (

-0.1)

52.59% (

0.1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.75% (

-0.08)

74.24% (

0.08)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.42% (

-0.03)

24.57% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.93% (

-0.05)

59.06% (

0.05)

Swansea City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.86% (

-0.08)

31.14% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.53% (

-0.09)

67.47% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Luton Town 42.38%

Swansea City 31.27%

Draw 26.35%

Luton Town	Draw	Swansea City
1-0 @ 10.73% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.79% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.54% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.11% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.53% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.44% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.6% Total : 42.38%	1-1 @ 12.53% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.65% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.13% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.35%	0-1 @ 8.93% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.31% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.21% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.96% Total : 31.27%