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Championship | Gameweek 18
Nov 30, 2024 at 3pm UK
Carrow Road
Luton Town

Norwich
4 - 2
Luton

Crnac (25', 33'), Marcondes (81'), Sainz (86')
Hernandez (63')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Adebayo (20'), Brown (49')
McGuinness (71'), Woodrow (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Norwich 6-1 Plymouth
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 3-0 Luton
Wednesday, November 27 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 3-1 Luton Town

Having conceded eight goals in their last two away games, we do not envisage this fixture going Luton's way. Although Norwich have lost ground on the playoff spots, their performance versus Plymouth should stand them in good stead ahead of this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 61.13%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 18.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.2%) and 1-0 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.37%), while for a Luton Town win it was 1-2 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.

Result
Norwich CityDrawLuton Town
61.13% (-0.012 -0.01) 20.38% (-0.014999999999997 -0.01) 18.49% (0.029 0.03)
Both teams to score 57.92% (0.109 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.76% (0.121 0.12)38.24% (-0.119 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.48% (0.127 0.13)60.52% (-0.123 -0.12)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.9% (0.035000000000011 0.04)12.09% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.36% (0.07 0.07)37.64% (-0.067 -0.07)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.89% (0.102 0.1)34.11% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.2% (0.107 0.11)70.8% (-0.104 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 61.13%
    Luton Town 18.49%
    Draw 20.38%
Norwich CityDrawLuton Town
2-1 @ 9.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 9.2% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-0 @ 8.71% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.97% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.48% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.75% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.68% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.42% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-2 @ 1.98% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.56% (0.006 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.45% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 4.02%
Total : 61.13%
1-1 @ 9.37% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.33% (0.013 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.13% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.34% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 20.38%
1-2 @ 5.04% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.44% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.39% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.91% (0.01 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.81% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 18.49%

How you voted: Norwich vs Luton

Norwich City
73.8%
Draw
14.8%
Luton Town
11.5%
61
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Luton
2-1
Norwich
Campbell (61'), Woodrow (90')
Pukki (69')
Oct 18, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Norwich
0-1
Luton
Morris (62')
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 35
Norwich
3-0
Luton
Pukki (12', 43'), Cantwell (73')
Dec 2, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Luton
3-1
Norwich
Moncur (15'), Pearson (22'), Collins (47' pen.)
Shea (18')
Buendia (19' pen.)
Placheta (33'), Zimmermann (85')
Sep 5, 2020 3pm
First Round
Luton
3-1
Norwich
Collins (79' pen., 83', 90+5')
Rea (90+4')
Dowell (81')
McCallum (70')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1812422591638
2Burnley1810622361736
3Leeds UnitedLeeds18105331131835
4Sunderland1896326131333
5Middlesbrough1893632211130
6Watford189362624230
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom1861021912728
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn178452117428
9Norwich CityNorwich186753527825
10Millwall176742015525
11Bristol City186752421325
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds187472227-525
13Swansea CitySwansea186571817123
14Stoke CityStoke185671922-321
15Derby CountyDerby185582224-220
16Coventry CityCoventry184682427-318
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd184682028-818
18Preston North EndPreston183961725-818
19Luton TownLuton1853102033-1318
20Cardiff CityCardiff184591728-1117
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth184591838-2017
22Hull City183691726-915
23Queens Park RangersQPR182971526-1115
24Portsmouth162771830-1213


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