Championship

Championship | Gameweek 18

Nov 30, 2024 at 3pm UK

Carrow Road

Norwich
4 - 2
Luton

Crnac (25', 33'), Marcondes (81'), Sainz (86')
Hernandez (63')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Adebayo (20'), Brown (49')
McGuinness (71'), Woodrow (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Norwich City

All competitions

Last Game: Norwich 6-1 Plymouth
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Luton Town

All competitions

Last Game: Leeds 3-0 Luton
Wednesday, November 27 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 61.13%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 18.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.2%) and 1-0 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.37%), while for a Luton Town win it was 1-2 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.

Result
Norwich City	Draw	Luton Town
61.13% ( -0.01)	20.38% ( -0.01)	18.49% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 57.92% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.76% (

0.12)

38.24% (

-0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.48% (

0.13)

60.52% (

-0.12)

Norwich City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.9% (

0.04)

12.09% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

62.36% (

0.07)

37.64% (

-0.07)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.89% (

0.1)

34.11% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.2% (

0.11)

70.8% (

-0.1)

Score Analysis

Norwich City 61.13%

Luton Town 18.49%

Draw 20.38%

Norwich City	Draw	Luton Town
2-1 @ 9.9% ( -0) 2-0 @ 9.2% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.71% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 6.97% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.48% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 3.75% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 3.68% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.42% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.98% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.56% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.45% ( 0) Other @ 4.02% Total : 61.13%	1-1 @ 9.37% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.33% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.13% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.21% Total : 20.38%	1-2 @ 5.04% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.44% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.39% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.91% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.91% Total : 18.49%