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Championship header 2

Championship

Middlesbrough logo
Championship | Gameweek 15
Nov 9, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Luton Town

Middlesbrough
5 - 1
Luton

Burgzorg (30', 54'), Latte Lath (43'), Azaz (51', 87')
Burgzorg (31')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Clark (77')
Baptiste (15'), Hashioka (49'), Clark (62'), Morris (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Middlesbrough

All competitions
Last Game: QPR 1-4 Middlesbrough
Tuesday, November 5 at 7.45pm in Championship

Luton Town

All competitions
Last Game: Luton 1-0 Cardiff
Wednesday, November 6 at 8pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 56.15%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 21.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.7%), while for a Luton Town win it was 0-1 (5.8%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawLuton Town
56.15% (0.038000000000004 0.04)22.67% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)21.18% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02)
Both teams to score 54.58% (0.044000000000004 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.19% (0.073 0.07)44.81% (-0.073 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.83% (0.071000000000005 0.07)67.16% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.22% (0.037999999999997 0.04)15.78% (-0.038 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.09% (0.07 0.07)44.91% (-0.07 -0.07)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.81% (0.024000000000001 0.02)35.19% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.05% (0.026 0.03)71.94% (-0.027000000000001 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 56.14%
    Luton Town 21.18%
    Draw 22.67%
MiddlesbroughDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 10.25% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.89% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 9.47% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.09% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.83% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 3.18% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 2.81% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.69% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.47% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.04% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 0.99% (0.003 0)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 56.14%
1-1 @ 10.7% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.55% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.16% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.67%
0-1 @ 5.8% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 3.03% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 1.95% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-3 @ 1.8% (0.0029999999999999 0)
0-3 @ 1.05% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 21.18%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Luton

Middlesbrough
75.7%
Draw
13.5%
Luton Town
10.8%
37
Head to Head
Apr 24, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 44
Luton
2-1
Middlesbrough
Lockyer (49'), Morris (67' pen.)
Archer (40')
> Preview
Dec 10, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 22
Middlesbrough
2-1
Luton
Akpom (38'), Crooks (90+1')
Clark (33')
> Preview
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 36
Middlesbrough
2-1
Luton
McNair (17' pen.), Watmore (87')
Lumley (90+1'), Coburn (90+3')
Cornick (90+6')
Jerome (20'), Hylton (50'), Lansbury (61')
> Preview
Nov 2, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Luton
3-1
Middlesbrough
Bradley (57'), Adebayo (60'), Cornick (62')
Potts (30'), Bree (31'), Onyedinma (70'), Lansbury (79')
Coburn (15')
Crooks (39'), Coburn (59'), Watmore (74')
> Preview
May 1, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 45
Luton
1-1
Middlesbrough
Rea (19')
Rea (75')
Watmore (21')
> Match Report