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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 48.87%. A win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 26.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.52%) and 0-2 (8.15%). The likeliest Queens Park Rangers win was 1-0 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 26.84% ( | 24.29% | 48.87% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.77% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.69% ( | 46.31% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.4% ( | 68.6% ( |
| Queens Park Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.87% ( | 31.13% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.55% ( | 67.46% ( |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.98% | 19.02% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.41% ( | 50.59% |
| Score Analysis |
| Queens Park Rangers | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 1-0 @ 6.91% 2-1 @ 6.69% ( 2-0 @ 4.03% 3-1 @ 2.6% ( 3-2 @ 2.16% ( 3-0 @ 1.57% ( Other @ 2.87% Total : 26.84% | 1-1 @ 11.46% 0-0 @ 5.92% ( 2-2 @ 5.55% ( 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.29% | 0-1 @ 9.83% ( 1-2 @ 9.52% ( 0-2 @ 8.15% ( 1-3 @ 5.26% ( 0-3 @ 4.51% ( 2-3 @ 3.07% ( 1-4 @ 2.18% 0-4 @ 1.87% 2-4 @ 1.28% ( Other @ 3.19% Total : 48.87% |