/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fleelog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Flutlog.png)
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Sam Byram
10'
-
Joel Piroe
45'+1'
-
Daniel James
81'
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Jordan Clark
90'
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Largie Ramazani
90'
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Daiki Hashioka
50'
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Joe Rodon
68'
Leeds United vs Luton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F24%2F41%2Fdaniel-farke.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 76.43%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 8.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.51%) and 1-0 (10.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.17%), while for a Luton Town win it was 0-1 (2.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.
Result
Leeds United
76.43%
▲
(+1.29)
Draw
15.08%
▼
(-0.45)
Luton Town
8.49%
▼
(-0.83)
Both Teams to Score:
46.64%
▼
(-2.09)
Goals
Over 2.5
62.2%
▼
(-0.74)
Under 2.5
37.8%
▲
(+0.74)
Over 3.5
39.95%
▼
(-0.79)
Under 3.5
60.05%
▲
(+0.80)
Over 4.5
22.1%
▼
(-0.64)
Under 4.5
77.9%
▲
(+0.65)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5
91.79%
▲
(+0.12)
Under 0.5
8.22%
▼
(-0.11)
Over 1.5
71.26%
▲
(+0.28)
Under 1.5
28.74%
▼
(-0.27)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5
50.82%
▼
(-2.34)
Under 0.5
49.19%
▲
(+2.34)
Over 1.5
15.92%
▼
(-1.72)
Under 1.5
84.09%
▲
(+1.72)
Score analysis
Leeds United
76.42%
Draw
15.08%
Luton Town
8.49%
Leeds United
2-0
@
12.61%
▲
(+0.56)
3-0 @ 10.51% ▲ (+0.53)
1-0 @ 10.09% ▲ (+0.40)
2-1 @ 8.95% ▼ (-0.19)
3-1 @ 7.46% ▼ (-0.12)
4-0 @ 6.57% ▲ (+0.37)
4-1 @ 4.66% ▼ (-0.05)
5-0 @ 3.28% ▲ (+0.20)
3-2 @ 2.65% ▼ (-0.23)
5-1 @ 2.33% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.65% ▼ (-0.14)
6-0 @ 1.37% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 4.28%
Total : 76.42%
3-0 @ 10.51% ▲ (+0.53)
1-0 @ 10.09% ▲ (+0.40)
2-1 @ 8.95% ▼ (-0.19)
3-1 @ 7.46% ▼ (-0.12)
4-0 @ 6.57% ▲ (+0.37)
4-1 @ 4.66% ▼ (-0.05)
5-0 @ 3.28% ▲ (+0.20)
3-2 @ 2.65% ▼ (-0.23)
5-1 @ 2.33% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 1.65% ▼ (-0.14)
6-0 @ 1.37% ▲ (+0.09)
Other @ 4.28%
Total : 76.42%
Draw
1-1
@
7.17%
▼
(-0.19)
0-0 @ 4.04% ▲ (+0.15)
2-2 @ 3.18% ▼ (-0.29)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 15.08%
0-0 @ 4.04% ▲ (+0.15)
2-2 @ 3.18% ▼ (-0.29)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 15.08%
Luton Town
0-1
@
2.87%
▼
(-0.09)
1-2 @ 2.54% ▼ (-0.25)
0-2 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 8.49%
1-2 @ 2.54% ▼ (-0.25)
0-2 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 8.49%