Championship

Championship | Gameweek 17

Nov 27, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Elland Road

Leeds
3 - 0
Luton

Byram (10'), Piroe (45+1'), James (81')
Clark (90'), Ramazani (90')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Hashioka (50'), Rodon (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

All competitions

Last Game: Swansea 3-4 Leeds
Sunday, November 24 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Luton Town

All competitions

Last Game: Luton 1-0 Hull City
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 76.43%. A draw had a probability of 15.1% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 8.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.51%) and 1-0 (10.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.17%), while for a Luton Town win it was 0-1 (2.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Leeds United would win this match.

Result
Leeds United	Draw	Luton Town
76.43% ( 1.28)	15.08% ( -0.45)	8.49% ( -0.83)

Both teams to score 46.64% (

-2.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.2% (

-0.73)

37.8% (

0.74)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.95% (

-0.79)

60.05% (

0.79)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.79% (

0.11)

8.22% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.26% (

0.27)

28.74% (

-0.27)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.82% (

-2.33)

49.19% (

2.34)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.92% (

-1.71)

84.09% (

1.72)

Score Analysis

Leeds United 76.42%

Luton Town 8.49%

Draw 15.08%

Leeds United	Draw	Luton Town
2-0 @ 12.61% ( 0.56) 3-0 @ 10.51% ( 0.52) 1-0 @ 10.09% ( 0.4) 2-1 @ 8.95% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 7.46% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 6.57% ( 0.36) 4-1 @ 4.66% ( -0.05) 5-0 @ 3.28% ( 0.2) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.22) 5-1 @ 2.33% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.65% ( -0.13) 6-0 @ 1.37% ( 0.09) 6-1 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 3.31% Total : 76.42%	1-1 @ 7.17% ( -0.18) 0-0 @ 4.04% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 3.18% ( -0.29) Other @ 0.7% Total : 15.08%	0-1 @ 2.87% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.24) 0-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.1) Other @ 2.06% Total : 8.49%