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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 37.95%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 36.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-0 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Luton Town | Draw | Hull City |
| 36.51% ( | 25.53% ( | 37.95% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.85% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.89% ( | 48.11% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.73% ( | 70.27% ( |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.33% ( | 25.66% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.43% ( | 60.57% ( |
| Hull City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.13% ( | 24.87% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.52% ( | 59.48% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Luton Town | Draw | Hull City |
| 1-0 @ 8.68% ( 2-1 @ 8.22% ( 2-0 @ 5.9% ( 3-1 @ 3.72% ( 3-0 @ 2.68% ( 3-2 @ 2.59% ( 4-1 @ 1.27% ( 4-0 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 2.55% Total : 36.51% | 1-1 @ 12.08% ( 0-0 @ 6.38% ( 2-2 @ 5.72% ( 3-3 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.53% | 0-1 @ 8.88% ( 1-2 @ 8.4% ( 0-2 @ 6.18% ( 1-3 @ 3.9% ( 0-3 @ 2.87% ( 2-3 @ 2.65% ( 1-4 @ 1.36% ( 0-4 @ 1% ( 2-4 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 1.79% Total : 37.95% |