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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 16
Nov 23, 2024 at 3pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Hull logo

Luton
1 - 0
Hull City

McGuinness (33')
Burke (22'), Nakamba (39')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Coyle (37')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Hull City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Middlesbrough 5-1 Luton
Saturday, November 9 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Hull City 1-2 West Brom
Sunday, November 10 at 1pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 37.95%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 36.51% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.18%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-0 (8.68%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawHull City
36.51% (-1.275 -1.28)25.53% (0.293 0.29)37.95% (0.982 0.98)
Both teams to score 55.85% (-1.049 -1.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.89% (-1.34 -1.34)48.11% (1.34 1.34)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.73% (-1.241 -1.24)70.27% (1.241 1.24)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.33% (-1.317 -1.32)25.66% (1.319 1.32)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.43% (-1.827 -1.83)60.57% (1.828 1.83)
Hull City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.13% (-0.078999999999994 -0.08)24.87% (0.080000000000002 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.52% (-0.108 -0.11)59.48% (0.109 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 36.51%
    Hull City 37.95%
    Draw 25.53%
Luton TownDrawHull City
1-0 @ 8.68% (0.154 0.15)
2-1 @ 8.22% (-0.186 -0.19)
2-0 @ 5.9% (-0.121 -0.12)
3-1 @ 3.72% (-0.233 -0.23)
3-0 @ 2.68% (-0.161 -0.16)
3-2 @ 2.59% (-0.168 -0.17)
4-1 @ 1.27% (-0.131 -0.13)
4-0 @ 0.91% (-0.092 -0.09)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 36.51%
1-1 @ 12.08% (0.19 0.19)
0-0 @ 6.38% (0.347 0.35)
2-2 @ 5.72% (-0.143 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.081 -0.08)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.53%
0-1 @ 8.88% (0.464 0.46)
1-2 @ 8.4% (0.111 0.11)
0-2 @ 6.18% (0.309 0.31)
1-3 @ 3.9% (0.043 0.04)
0-3 @ 2.87% (0.137 0.14)
2-3 @ 2.65% (-0.072 -0.07)
1-4 @ 1.36% (0.012 0.01)
0-4 @ 1% (0.046 0.05)
2-4 @ 0.92% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 37.95%

How you voted: Luton vs Hull City

Luton Town
74.1%
Draw
13.8%
Hull City
12.1%
58
Head to Head
May 8, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 46
Luton
0-0
Hull City
Sep 30, 2022 8pm
Gameweek 12
Hull City
0-2
Luton
Jones (6' og.), Lansbury (44')
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 39
Hull City
1-3
Luton
Eaves (90+2')
Huddlestone (71'), Honeyman (86')
Adebayo (9'), Cornick (56'), Bree (72')
Clark (11'), Kioso (25')
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 14
Luton
1-0
Hull City
Adebayo (17')

Bernard (27')
Jul 18, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 45
Hull City
0-1
Luton
rhs 2.0


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