Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 44.83%. A win for Oxford United had a probability of 29.49% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.1%) and 0-2 (7.85%). The likeliest Oxford United win was 1-0 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.