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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 46.37%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 29.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.33%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 0-1 (7.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hull City | Draw | Portsmouth |
46.37% ( 0.58) | 24.57% ( 0.05) | 29.06% ( -0.62) |
Both teams to score 56.55% ( -0.55) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.95% ( -0.54) | 46.05% ( 0.55) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.65% ( -0.52) | 68.35% ( 0.52) |
Hull City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.05% ( 0.02) | 19.95% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.89% ( 0.04) | 52.11% ( -0.04) |
Portsmouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.64% ( -0.71) | 29.35% ( 0.71) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.67% ( -0.88) | 65.33% ( 0.88) |
Score Analysis |
Hull City | Draw | Portsmouth |
1-0 @ 9.44% ( 0.22) 2-1 @ 9.33% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 7.61% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 5.01% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 4.09% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 3.07% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.02% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.92% Total : 46.37% | 1-1 @ 11.57% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 5.72% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.57% | 0-1 @ 7.18% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 7.09% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 4.4% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.9% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.37% Total : 29.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 9 | 16 | 38 |
2 | Burnley | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 24 | 7 | 17 | 37 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 35 |
4 | Sunderland | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 33 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 33 | 22 | 11 | 31 |
6 | Watford | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 30 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 18 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 28 |
8 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 28 |
9 | Norwich CityNorwich | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 27 | 8 | 25 |
10 | Millwall | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 25 |
11 | Bristol City | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 25 |
12 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 25 |
13 | Swansea CitySwansea | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 23 |
14 | Stoke CityStoke | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Derby CountyDerby | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 20 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 18 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 18 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 18 |
20 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 38 | -20 | 17 |
22 | Hull City | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 15 |
24 | Portsmouth | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 13 |
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