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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 48.56%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 26.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 0-1 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Swansea City | Draw | Portsmouth |
| 48.56% ( | 24.64% ( | 26.81% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.62% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.18% ( | 47.82% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30% ( | 70% ( |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.26% ( | 19.74% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.23% ( | 51.77% ( |
| Portsmouth Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.05% ( | 31.95% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.6% ( | 68.4% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Swansea City | Draw | Portsmouth |
| 1-0 @ 10.23% ( 2-1 @ 9.47% ( 2-0 @ 8.3% ( 3-1 @ 5.12% ( 3-0 @ 4.49% ( 3-2 @ 2.92% ( 4-1 @ 2.08% ( 4-0 @ 1.82% ( 4-2 @ 1.19% ( Other @ 2.93% Total : 48.56% | 1-1 @ 11.67% 0-0 @ 6.31% ( 2-2 @ 5.4% ( 3-3 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.63% | 0-1 @ 7.2% ( 1-2 @ 6.66% ( 0-2 @ 4.11% ( 1-3 @ 2.53% ( 2-3 @ 2.06% ( 0-3 @ 1.56% Other @ 2.69% Total : 26.81% |