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Championship | Gameweek 18
Nov 30, 2024 at 3pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Portsmouth

Swansea
2 - 2
Portsmouth

Ogilvie (45+2' og.), Cullen (54')
Cabango (9')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Ritchie (25'), Murphy (45')
Pack (1'), Mousinho (2'), Ritchie (35'), Cullen (36'), Blair (83'), Dozzell (83')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derby 1-2 Swansea
Wednesday, November 27 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Portsmouth 3-1 Preston
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 48.56%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 26.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 0-1 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
Swansea CityDrawPortsmouth
48.56% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)24.64% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)26.81% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Both teams to score 54.62% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.18% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)47.82% (0.038000000000004 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30% (-0.034000000000002 -0.03)70% (0.035000000000011 0.04)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.26% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)19.74% (0.019000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.23% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)51.77% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.05% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)31.95% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.6% (-0.023 -0.02)68.4% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 48.56%
    Portsmouth 26.81%
    Draw 24.63%
Swansea CityDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 10.23% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.47% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 8.3% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-1 @ 5.12% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-0 @ 4.49% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-1 @ 2.08% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.82% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 1.19% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 48.56%
1-1 @ 11.67%
0-0 @ 6.31% (0.010000000000001 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.4% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.63%
0-1 @ 7.2% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.66% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 4.11% (0.0019999999999998 0)
1-3 @ 2.53% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.06% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 1.56%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 26.81%

How you voted: Swansea vs Portsmouth

Swansea City
74.2%
Draw
16.1%
Portsmouth
9.7%
31
Head to Head
Apr 23, 2011 3pm
Portsmouth
0-0
Swansea
Kitson (23'), Nugent (29'), Hogg (86')
Borini (66'), Monk (83'), Britton (90')
Nov 26, 2010 3pm
Swansea
1-2
Portsmouth
Beattie (2')
Halford (65'), Nugent (43')
Halford (19'), Nugent (45'), Lawrence (56')
rhs 2.0


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