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Bristol City
Championship | Gameweek 18
Nov 30, 2024 at 3pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
Plymouth Argyle

Bristol City
4 - 0
Plymouth

Twine (57'), Mehmeti (62', 70'), Armstrong (90')
Wells (66')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Palsson (32'), Grimshaw (66'), Forshaw (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Plymouth Argyle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Watford 1-0 Bristol City
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 6-1 Plymouth
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 59.42%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 17.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.52%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (6.18%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bristol City would win this match.

Result
Bristol CityDrawPlymouth Argyle
59.42% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)23.09% (0.012999999999998 0.01)17.49% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Both teams to score 47.14% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.39% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)51.61% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.61% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)73.39% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.96% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)17.04% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.81% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)47.19% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Plymouth Argyle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.82% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)43.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.56%79.44%
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 59.42%
    Plymouth Argyle 17.49%
    Draw 23.09%
Bristol CityDrawPlymouth Argyle
1-0 @ 13.02% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 11.52%
2-1 @ 9.68% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 6.8% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
3-1 @ 5.71% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-0 @ 3.01% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.53% (-0.004 -0)
3-2 @ 2.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.06% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.06% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 59.42%
1-1 @ 10.93% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.36% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.06% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 23.09%
0-1 @ 6.18% (0.008 0.01)
1-2 @ 4.59% (0.0029999999999992 0)
0-2 @ 2.6% (0.004 0)
1-3 @ 1.29%
2-3 @ 1.14% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 17.49%

How you voted: Bristol City vs Plymouth

Bristol City
61.8%
Draw
26.5%
Plymouth Argyle
11.8%
34
Head to Head
Apr 1, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 40
Plymouth
0-1
Bristol City

Devine (54'), Gibson (62'), Houghton (90')
Devine (78')
Wells (57')
Twine (28'), Pring (88'), Wells (90+6')
Sep 19, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Bristol City
4-1
Plymouth
Bell (3'), James (8'), Sykes (33'), Cornick (80')
Wells (35'), Tanner (67'), Yeboah (90+3')
Randell (26')
Jul 16, 2022 3pm
Club Friendlies
Plymouth
0-1
Bristol City
Wells (82')
Jul 27, 2021 6pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Plymouth
0-1
Bristol City
Weimann (55')
Aug 14, 2018 7.45pm
First Round
Bristol City
0-1
Plymouth

Weimann (86')
Songo'o (27')
Songo'o (17'), Carey (49'), Ladapo (59'), Smith-Brown (67')