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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 59.42%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Plymouth Argyle had a probability of 17.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.52%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Plymouth Argyle win it was 0-1 (6.18%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bristol City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bristol City | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 59.42% ( | 23.09% ( | 17.49% ( |
| Both teams to score 47.14% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.39% ( | 51.61% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.61% ( | 73.39% ( |
| Bristol City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.96% ( | 17.04% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.81% ( | 47.19% ( |
| Plymouth Argyle Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.82% ( | 43.18% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.56% | 79.44% |
| Score Analysis |
| Bristol City | Draw | Plymouth Argyle |
| 1-0 @ 13.02% ( 2-0 @ 11.52% 2-1 @ 9.68% ( 3-0 @ 6.8% ( 3-1 @ 5.71% ( 4-0 @ 3.01% ( 4-1 @ 2.53% ( 3-2 @ 2.4% ( 5-0 @ 1.06% ( 4-2 @ 1.06% ( Other @ 2.66% Total : 59.42% | 1-1 @ 10.93% ( 0-0 @ 7.36% ( 2-2 @ 4.06% ( Other @ 0.74% Total : 23.09% | 0-1 @ 6.18% ( 1-2 @ 4.59% ( 0-2 @ 2.6% ( 1-3 @ 1.29% 2-3 @ 1.14% ( Other @ 1.7% Total : 17.49% |