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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 41.23%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 30.73% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (7.89%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (10.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bristol City | Draw | Burnley |
| 41.23% ( | 28.04% ( | 30.73% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.69% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.83% ( | 59.17% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.4% ( | 79.6% ( |
| Bristol City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.77% ( | 28.23% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.07% ( | 63.93% ( |
| Burnley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.05% ( | 34.95% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.31% ( | 71.69% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Bristol City | Draw | Burnley |
| 1-0 @ 12.47% ( 2-1 @ 8.3% ( 2-0 @ 7.89% ( 3-1 @ 3.5% ( 3-0 @ 3.33% ( 3-2 @ 1.84% ( 4-1 @ 1.11% ( 4-0 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 1.74% Total : 41.22% | 1-1 @ 13.11% ( 0-0 @ 9.86% ( 2-2 @ 4.36% ( Other @ 0.7% Total : 28.04% | 0-1 @ 10.37% ( 1-2 @ 6.9% 0-2 @ 5.45% ( 1-3 @ 2.42% ( 0-3 @ 1.91% ( 2-3 @ 1.53% ( Other @ 2.15% Total : 30.73% |