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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 44.87%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 28.6% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.94%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Watford in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Watford.
| Result | ||
| Watford | Draw | Bristol City |
| 44.87% ( | 26.53% ( | 28.6% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.02% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.57% ( | 54.43% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.2% ( | 75.8% ( |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.84% ( | 24.16% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.52% ( | 58.48% ( |
| Bristol City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.95% ( | 34.04% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.27% ( | 70.73% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Watford | Draw | Bristol City |
| 1-0 @ 11.68% ( 2-1 @ 8.94% ( 2-0 @ 8.3% ( 3-1 @ 4.23% ( 3-0 @ 3.93% ( 3-2 @ 2.28% ( 4-1 @ 1.5% 4-0 @ 1.4% ( Other @ 2.6% Total : 44.86% | 1-1 @ 12.58% ( 0-0 @ 8.23% ( 2-2 @ 4.82% ( Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.52% | 0-1 @ 8.86% ( 1-2 @ 6.78% ( 0-2 @ 4.77% ( 1-3 @ 2.44% ( 2-3 @ 1.73% ( 0-3 @ 1.72% ( Other @ 2.3% Total : 28.6% |