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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sheffield United win with a probability of 44.92%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 29.73% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sheffield United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 0-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sheffield United in this match.
Result | ||
Sheffield United | Draw | Sunderland |
44.92% ( -0.11) | 25.35% ( -0.14) | 29.73% ( 0.25) |
Both teams to score 54.37% ( 0.6) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.9% ( 0.71) | 49.1% ( -0.7) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.83% ( 0.64) | 71.17% ( -0.63) |
Sheffield United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.16% ( 0.25) | 21.84% ( -0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.93% ( 0.38) | 55.07% ( -0.37) |
Sunderland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.57% ( 0.55) | 30.43% ( -0.54) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.36% ( 0.64) | 66.64% ( -0.63) |
Score Analysis |
Sheffield United | Draw | Sunderland |
1-0 @ 10.11% ( -0.22) 2-1 @ 9.15% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.69% ( -0.11) 3-1 @ 4.64% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 3.9% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.77% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.48% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.36% Total : 44.92% | 1-1 @ 12.03% ( -0.07) 0-0 @ 6.65% ( -0.19) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.35% | 0-1 @ 7.91% ( -0.11) 1-2 @ 7.16% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 4.7% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.84% ( 0.07) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.1% Total : 29.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 9 | 16 | 38 |
2 | Burnley | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 23 | 6 | 17 | 36 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 35 |
4 | Sunderland | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 33 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 30 |
6 | Watford | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 30 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 18 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 28 |
8 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 28 |
9 | Norwich CityNorwich | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 27 | 8 | 25 |
10 | Millwall | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 25 |
11 | Bristol City | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 25 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 23 |
13 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 26 | -6 | 22 |
14 | Stoke CityStoke | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Derby CountyDerby | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 21 | 22 | -1 | 20 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 18 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 18 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 18 |
20 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 38 | -20 | 17 |
22 | Hull City | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 15 |
24 | Portsmouth | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 13 |
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