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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 43.37%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 31.2% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 0-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sunderland | Draw | Coventry City |
43.37% ( 0.07) | 25.44% ( 0.01) | 31.2% ( -0.09) |
Both teams to score 54.84% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.17% ( -0.09) | 48.83% ( 0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.07% ( -0.09) | 70.93% ( 0.09) |
Sunderland Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.55% ( -0.01) | 22.45% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.01% ( -0.01) | 55.99% ( 0.01) |
Coventry City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.71% ( -0.11) | 29.29% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.75% ( -0.13) | 65.25% ( 0.13) |
Score Analysis |
Sunderland | Draw | Coventry City |
1-0 @ 9.82% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.34% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.49% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.65% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.76% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.68% 4-0 @ 1.36% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 2.24% Total : 43.37% | 1-1 @ 12.06% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.58% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.43% | 0-1 @ 8.08% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.41% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.96% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.03% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.27% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.5% Total : 31.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 25 | 9 | 16 | 38 |
2 | Burnley | 18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 23 | 6 | 17 | 36 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 31 | 13 | 18 | 35 |
4 | Sunderland | 18 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 26 | 13 | 13 | 33 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 30 |
6 | Watford | 18 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 26 | 24 | 2 | 30 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 18 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 19 | 12 | 7 | 28 |
8 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 21 | 17 | 4 | 28 |
9 | Norwich CityNorwich | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 35 | 27 | 8 | 25 |
10 | Millwall | 17 | 6 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 15 | 5 | 25 |
11 | Bristol City | 18 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 3 | 25 |
12 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 27 | -5 | 25 |
13 | Swansea CitySwansea | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 18 | 17 | 1 | 23 |
14 | Stoke CityStoke | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 21 |
15 | Derby CountyDerby | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 22 | 24 | -2 | 20 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 18 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 28 | -8 | 18 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 18 | 3 | 9 | 6 | 17 | 25 | -8 | 18 |
19 | Luton TownLuton | 18 | 5 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 33 | -13 | 18 |
20 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 28 | -11 | 17 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 38 | -20 | 17 |
22 | Hull City | 18 | 3 | 6 | 9 | 17 | 26 | -9 | 15 |
23 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 18 | 2 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 15 |
24 | Portsmouth | 16 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 18 | 30 | -12 | 13 |
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