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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 37.64%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 32.92% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.56%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest Millwall win was 1-0 (11.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Millwall | Draw | Sunderland |
| 32.92% ( | 29.43% ( | 37.64% ( |
| Both teams to score 43.48% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.58% ( | 63.42% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.23% ( | 82.77% ( |
| Millwall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.38% ( | 35.62% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.61% ( | 72.39% ( |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.54% ( | 32.46% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.02% ( | 68.98% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Millwall | Draw | Sunderland |
| 1-0 @ 11.93% ( 2-1 @ 6.93% ( 2-0 @ 6.16% ( 3-1 @ 2.39% ( 3-0 @ 2.12% ( 3-2 @ 1.34% ( Other @ 2.05% Total : 32.92% | 1-1 @ 13.42% ( 0-0 @ 11.56% ( 2-2 @ 3.9% ( Other @ 0.54% Total : 29.42% | 0-1 @ 13.01% ( 1-2 @ 7.56% ( 0-2 @ 7.32% ( 1-3 @ 2.83% ( 0-3 @ 2.75% ( 2-3 @ 1.46% ( Other @ 2.72% Total : 37.64% |