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Championship | Gameweek 16
Nov 23, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Den
Sunderland

Millwall
1 - 1
Sunderland

Azeez (90+3')
Esse (86')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Connolly (10')
Aleksic (77'), Mepham (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 1-1 Millwall
Saturday, November 9 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 2-2 Coventry
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 37.64%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 32.92% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.56%) and 0-2 (7.32%). The likeliest Millwall win was 1-0 (11.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.

Result
MillwallDrawSunderland
32.92% (0.453 0.45)29.43% (0.601 0.6)37.64% (-1.053 -1.05)
Both teams to score 43.48% (-1.535 -1.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.58% (-1.916 -1.92)63.42% (1.915 1.92)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.23% (-1.401 -1.4)82.77% (1.4 1.4)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.38% (-0.70699999999999 -0.71)35.62% (0.704 0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.61% (-0.736 -0.74)72.39% (0.73399999999999 0.73)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.54% (-1.627 -1.63)32.46% (1.626 1.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.02% (-1.871 -1.87)68.98% (1.87 1.87)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 32.92%
    Sunderland 37.64%
    Draw 29.42%
MillwallDrawSunderland
1-0 @ 11.93% (0.61 0.61)
2-1 @ 6.93% (-0.081 -0.08)
2-0 @ 6.16% (0.2 0.2)
3-1 @ 2.39% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-0 @ 2.12% (0.029 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.34% (-0.105 -0.11)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 32.92%
1-1 @ 13.42% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 11.56% (0.8 0.8)
2-2 @ 3.9% (-0.226 -0.23)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 29.42%
0-1 @ 13.01% (0.35 0.35)
1-2 @ 7.56% (-0.286 -0.29)
0-2 @ 7.32% (-0.133 -0.13)
1-3 @ 2.83% (-0.241 -0.24)
0-3 @ 2.75% (-0.177 -0.18)
2-3 @ 1.46% (-0.156 -0.16)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 37.64%

How you voted: Millwall vs Sunderland

Millwall
55.6%
Draw
20.6%
Sunderland
23.8%
63
Head to Head
Apr 20, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 44
Sunderland
0-1
Millwall

Clarke (12'), Ballard (87'), Bellingham (90+1')
Watmore (71' og.)
Obafemi (43'), Flemming (87')
Dec 2, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 19
Millwall
1-1
Sunderland
Nisbet (44')
Saville (67'), Bialkowski (74'), Cooper (78'), Bradshaw (81'), Watmore (90+4')
Clarke (78' pen.)
Burstow (25'), Clarke (32'), Ballard (45')
Feb 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 30
Millwall
1-1
Sunderland
Cooper (59')
Cirkin (81')
Dec 3, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 9
Sunderland
3-0
Millwall
Diallo (53'), Pritchard (58'), Simms (90+3')
Mar 3, 2018 3pm