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Championship | Gameweek 15
Nov 9, 2024 at 12.30pm UK
Britannia Stadium
Millwall logo

Stoke
1 - 1
Millwall

Gibson (60')
Gibson (45+3'), Burger (50')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Coburn (42')
Esse (53'), Wintle (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Blackburn 0-2 Stoke
Wednesday, November 6 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 1-0 Leeds
Wednesday, November 6 at 7.45pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 32.28% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (10.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.

Result
Stoke CityDrawMillwall
39.97% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)27.75% (0.011999999999997 0.01)32.28% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Both teams to score 48.04% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.29% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)57.71% (0.040999999999997 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.54% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)78.46% (0.030999999999992 0.03)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.77% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)28.23% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.07% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)63.94% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.94% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)33.06% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.35% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)69.65% (0.010000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 39.97%
    Millwall 32.28%
    Draw 27.74%
Stoke CityDrawMillwall
1-0 @ 11.8% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 8.26% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.46% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-1 @ 3.48% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.15% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 1.93% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 1.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.79%
Total : 39.97%
1-1 @ 13.06%
0-0 @ 9.33% (0.014000000000001 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.57% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 27.74%
0-1 @ 10.33% (0.02 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.23%
0-2 @ 5.72% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.67%
0-3 @ 2.11% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 1.69% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 32.28%

How you voted: Stoke vs Millwall

Stoke City
47.6%
Draw
14.3%
Millwall
38.1%
42
Head to Head
Dec 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 23
Stoke
0-0
Millwall
Rose (47')
Mitchell (18'), Cooper (66'), Harding (79')
Aug 26, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 4
Millwall
1-0
Stoke
Nisbet (38')
Saville (7')

Laurent (18'), Wilmot (33'), Hoever (35'), Pearson (51'), McNally (82')
Feb 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 34
Stoke
0-1
Millwall
Jul 30, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 1
Millwall
2-0
Stoke
Cresswell (12', 65')
Cresswell (39')

Flint (44'), Kilkenny (83')
Mar 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 39
Stoke
2-0
Millwall
Brown (19'), Saville (70' og.)
Tymon (56'), Brown (65'), Thompson (84')

Ballard (85')