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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 39.97%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 32.28% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (10.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Stoke City | Draw | Millwall |
| 39.97% ( | 27.75% ( | 32.28% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.04% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.29% ( | 57.71% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.54% ( | 78.46% ( |
| Stoke City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.77% ( | 28.23% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.07% ( | 63.94% ( |
| Millwall Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.94% ( | 33.06% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.35% ( | 69.65% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Stoke City | Draw | Millwall |
| 1-0 @ 11.8% ( 2-1 @ 8.26% ( 2-0 @ 7.46% ( 3-1 @ 3.48% ( 3-0 @ 3.15% ( 3-2 @ 1.93% ( 4-1 @ 1.1% ( 4-0 @ 1% ( Other @ 1.79% Total : 39.97% | 1-1 @ 13.06% 0-0 @ 9.33% ( 2-2 @ 4.57% ( Other @ 0.78% Total : 27.74% | 0-1 @ 10.33% ( 1-2 @ 7.23% 0-2 @ 5.72% ( 1-3 @ 2.67% 0-3 @ 2.11% ( 2-3 @ 1.69% ( Other @ 2.54% Total : 32.28% |