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Championship | Gameweek 24
Dec 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Luton Town

Swansea
2 - 1
Luton

Franco (38'), Peart-Harris (90+1')
Grimes (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Morris (5')
McGuinness (30'), Johnson (31'), Clark (60')
Johnson (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swansea 3-0 QPR
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 1-0 Luton
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 53.75%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 22.01%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.87%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Luton Town win it was 0-1 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Swansea City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Swansea City.

Result
Swansea CityDrawLuton Town
53.75% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)24.24% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)22.01% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 50.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.57% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)50.43%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.64% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)72.36%
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.31% (0.0010000000000048 0)18.69% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.97% (0.0040000000000049 0)50.03% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.44% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)37.55% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.67% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)74.33% (0.0049999999999955 0)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 53.75%
    Luton Town 22.01%
    Draw 24.23%
Swansea CityDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 11.77% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.87% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-1 @ 9.67% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 5.52% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 5.41% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-2 @ 2.65%
4-0 @ 2.31%
4-1 @ 2.27% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.11%
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 53.75%
1-1 @ 11.52%
0-0 @ 7.02%
2-2 @ 4.74% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 24.23%
0-1 @ 6.87% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-2 @ 5.65% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 3.37% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 1.84% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.55%
0-3 @ 1.1% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 22.01%

How you voted: Swansea vs Luton

Swansea City
64.8%
Draw
15.5%
Luton Town
19.7%
71
Head to Head
Dec 7, 2024 3.15pm
Gameweek 19
Luton
1-1
Swansea
Adebayo (17')
Grimes (64')
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 35
Luton
1-0
Swansea
Morris (39')
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 5
Swansea
0-2
Luton

Obafemi (82')
Campbell (14'), Morris (72')
Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Swansea
0-1
Luton

Downes (10'), Piroe (90+3')
Cornick (72')
Hylton (34'), Lansbury (75'), Burke (88'), Berry (89')
Sep 18, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 8
Luton
3-3
Swansea
Berry (7'), Adebayo (15' pen., 23')
Lansbury (28'), Naismith (47')
Paterson (63'), Ntcham (86'), Piroe (90+1')
Manning (28')