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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 53.75%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 22.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.87%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.52%), while for a Luton Town win it was 0-1 (6.87%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Swansea City in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Swansea City.
| Result | ||
| Swansea City | Draw | Luton Town |
| 53.75% ( | 24.24% ( | 22.01% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.78% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.57% ( | 50.43% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.64% ( | 72.36% |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.31% ( | 18.69% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 49.97% ( | 50.03% ( |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.44% ( | 37.55% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.67% ( | 74.33% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Swansea City | Draw | Luton Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.77% ( 2-0 @ 9.87% ( 2-1 @ 9.67% ( 3-0 @ 5.52% ( 3-1 @ 5.41% ( 3-2 @ 2.65% 4-0 @ 2.31% 4-1 @ 2.27% ( 4-2 @ 1.11% Other @ 3.17% Total : 53.75% | 1-1 @ 11.52% 0-0 @ 7.02% 2-2 @ 4.74% ( Other @ 0.96% Total : 24.23% | 0-1 @ 6.87% ( 1-2 @ 5.65% ( 0-2 @ 3.37% ( 1-3 @ 1.84% ( 2-3 @ 1.55% 0-3 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 1.64% Total : 22.01% |