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Carlton Morris
24'
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Tahith Chong
55'
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Elijah Adebayo
90'
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Tom Cannon
6'
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Wouter Burger
85'
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Lewis Koumas
89'
Luton Town vs Stoke City - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 42.68%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 31.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.41%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (8.54%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Luton Town in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Luton Town.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Luton Town Goals
Stoke City Goals
Score analysis
2-1 @ 8.89% ▲ (+0.05)
2-0 @ 7.41% ▲ (+0.18)
3-1 @ 4.28% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 3.56% ▲ (+0.09)
3-2 @ 2.57% ▼ (-0.04)
4-1 @ 1.54% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.29% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 42.68%
0-0 @ 7.11% ▲ (+0.16)
2-2 @ 5.33% ▼ (-0.08)
3-3 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.9%
1-2 @ 7.39% ▼ (-0.12)
0-2 @ 5.12% ▼ (-0.09)
1-3 @ 2.96% ▼ (-0.11)
2-3 @ 2.13% ▼ (-0.08)
0-3 @ 2.05% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 3.22%
Total : 31.41%