Championship

Championship | Gameweek 18

Nov 30, 2024 at 3pm UK

Bet365 Stadium

Stoke
0 - 2
Burnley

Bae (69'), Famiwuya (85')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Rodriguez (52'), Brownhill (78' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Stoke City

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Stoke 0-0 Preston
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Burnley

All competitions

Last Game: Burnley 2-0 Coventry
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 41.24%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 31.68% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
Stoke City	Draw	Burnley
41.24% ( 0.12)	27.08% ( 0.03)	31.68% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 49.86% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.67% (

-0.16)

55.33% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.46% (

-0.13)

76.54% (

0.13)

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.59% (

-0.01)

26.41% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.43% (

-0.01)

61.57% (

0.01)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.75% (

-0.19)

32.25% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.25% (

-0.21)

68.75% (

0.21)

Score Analysis

Stoke City 41.24%

Burnley 31.68%

Draw 27.07%

Stoke City	Draw	Burnley
1-0 @ 11.34% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 8.54% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.55% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.79% ( 0) 3-0 @ 3.35% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.15% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.26% 4-0 @ 1.12% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.15% Total : 41.24%	1-1 @ 12.83% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.52% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.83% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.07%	0-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.26% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 5.45% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.74% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.71% Total : 31.68%