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Championship | Gameweek 18
Nov 30, 2024 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Burnley logo

Stoke
0 - 2
Burnley


Bae (69'), Famiwuya (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Rodriguez (52'), Brownhill (78' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Burnley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stoke 0-0 Preston
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Burnley 2-0 Coventry
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 0-1 Burnley

Failing to find a spark against Preston last time out, Stoke look set for another frustrating match in front of goal this weekend when they face a stubborn Burnley outfit. The Clarets eased past Coventry on Tuesday night and should be confident of repeating the trick against the Potters on Saturday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 41.24%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 31.68% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Burnley win was 0-1 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.83%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawBurnley
41.24% (0.124 0.12) 27.08% (0.029 0.03) 31.68% (-0.156 -0.16)
Both teams to score 49.86% (-0.143 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.67% (-0.155 -0.16)55.33% (0.155 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.46% (-0.127 -0.13)76.54% (0.125 0.13)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.59% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)26.41% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.43% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)61.57% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Burnley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.75% (-0.18900000000001 -0.19)32.25% (0.187 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.25% (-0.212 -0.21)68.75% (0.21000000000001 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 41.24%
    Burnley 31.68%
    Draw 27.07%
Stoke CityDrawBurnley
1-0 @ 11.34% (0.07 0.07)
2-1 @ 8.54% (0.004999999999999 0)
2-0 @ 7.55% (0.043 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.79% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 3.35% (0.018 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.26%
4-0 @ 1.12% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 41.24%
1-1 @ 12.83% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.52% (0.051 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.83% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.07%
0-1 @ 9.64% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.26% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-2 @ 5.45% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.74% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.06% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.82% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 31.68%

How you voted: Stoke vs Burnley

Stoke City
15.3%
Draw
15.3%
Burnley
69.5%
59
Head to Head
Dec 30, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Stoke
0-1
Burnley
Cullen (61')
Oct 5, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 13
Burnley
1-1
Stoke
Roberts (54')
Clarke (87')
Apr 22, 2018 1.30pm
Stoke
1-1
Burnley
Ndiaye (11')
Pieters (85'), Ndiaye (91')
Barnes (62')
Barnes (25')
Dec 12, 2017 7.45pm
Apr 4, 2017 7.45pm
Burnley
1-0
Stoke
Boyd (58')
Ward (24'), Barton (30'), Boyd (90')

Adam (76'), Martins Indi (88')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1812422591638
2Burnley1810622361736
3Leeds UnitedLeeds18105331131835
4Sunderland1896326131333
5Middlesbrough1893632211130
6Watford189362624230
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom1861021912728
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn178452117428
9Norwich CityNorwich186753527825
10Millwall176742015525
11Bristol City186752421325
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds187472227-525
13Swansea CitySwansea186571817123
14Stoke CityStoke185671922-321
15Derby CountyDerby185582224-220
16Coventry CityCoventry184682427-318
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd184682028-818
18Preston North EndPreston183961725-818
19Luton TownLuton1853102033-1318
20Cardiff CityCardiff184591728-1117
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth184591838-2017
22Hull City183691726-915
23Queens Park RangersQPR182971526-1115
24Portsmouth162771830-1213


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