Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 44%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 30.41% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burnley would win this match.