Championship

Championship | Gameweek 23

Dec 26, 2024 at 3pm UK

Ashton Gate Stadium

Bristol City
1 - 0
Luton

Twine (47')
Twine (58'), Dickie (85')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Morris (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Championship clash between Bristol City and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol City

All competitions

Last Game: West Brom 2-0 Bristol City
Sunday, December 22 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Luton Town

All competitions

Last Game: Luton 2-1 Derby
Friday, December 20 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 58.5%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 18.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.16%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for a Luton Town win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bristol City in this match.

Result
Bristol City	Draw	Luton Town
58.5% ( 0.04)	23.23% ( 0.04)	18.27% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 48.15% (

-0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.99% (

-0.27)

51.01% (

0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.12% (

-0.24)

72.88% (

0.24)

Bristol City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.85% (

-0.08)

17.15% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.6% (

-0.15)

47.4% (

0.15)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.12% (

-0.25)

41.88% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.67% (

-0.22)

78.34% (

0.22)

Score Analysis

Bristol City 58.49%

Luton Town 18.27%

Draw 23.23%

Bristol City	Draw	Luton Town
1-0 @ 12.66% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 11.16% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 6.56% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.71% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.89% 4-1 @ 2.52% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.02% ( -0) Other @ 2.67% Total : 58.49%	1-1 @ 11.02% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.18% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 4.23% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.79% Total : 23.23%	0-1 @ 6.25% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.89% Total : 18.27%