Championship Gameweek 23
Bristol City
Dec 26, 2024 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Ashton Gate Stadium
Luton
  • Scott Twine 47' goal
  • Scott Twine 58' yellowcard
  • Robert Dickie 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Carlton Morris 58'

Bristol City vs Luton Town - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bristol City

All competitions
Last game
Dec 22, 2024 3.00pm
West Brom 2 - 0 Bristol City
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Anis Mehmeti

Luton Town

All competitions
Last game
Dec 20, 2024 8.00pm
Luton 2 - 1 Derby
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Carlton Morris

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bristol City win with a probability of 58.5%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 18.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bristol City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.16%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for a Luton Town win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Bristol City in this match.

Result

Bristol City 58.5% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 23.23% ▲ (+0.04)
Luton Town 18.27% ▼ (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.15% ▼ (-0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5 48.99% ▼ (-0.28)
Under 2.5 51.01% ▲ (+0.28)
Over 3.5 27.12% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 3.5 72.88% ▲ (+0.24)
Over 4.5 12.73% ▼ (-0.16)
Under 4.5 87.27% ▲ (+0.16)

Bristol City Goals

Over 0.5 82.85% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 0.5 17.15% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 1.5 52.6% ▼ (-0.15)
Under 1.5 47.4% ▲ (+0.15)

Luton Town Goals

Over 0.5 58.12% ▼ (-0.26)
Under 0.5 41.88% ▲ (+0.26)
Over 1.5 21.67% ▼ (-0.22)
Under 1.5 78.34% ▲ (+0.22)

Score analysis

Bristol City 58.49%
Draw 23.23%
Luton Town 18.27%
Bristol City
1-0 @ 12.66% ▲ (+0.10)
2-0 @ 11.16% ▲ (+0.07)
2-1 @ 9.72% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 6.56% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 5.71% ▼ (-0.03)
4-0 @ 2.89%
4-1 @ 2.52% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.49% ▼ (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.1% ▼ (-0.02)
5-0 @ 1.02% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 58.49%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.02% ▲ (+0.02)
0-0 @ 7.18% ▲ (+0.08)
2-2 @ 4.23% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 23.23%
Luton Town
0-1 @ 6.25% ▲ (+0.03)
1-2 @ 4.8% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 2.72% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.39% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 18.27%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 37
Luton
Mar 15, 2023 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Kenilworth Road Stadium
Bristol City
  • Carlton Morris 4' goal
Championship Gameweek 4
Bristol City
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Ashton Gate Stadium
Luton
  • Nahki Wells 5' goal
  • Tommy Conway 27' goal
  • Nahki Wells 61' yellowcard
  • Mark Sykes 67' redcard
  • Andreas Weimann 67' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Luke Freeman 67'
  • yellowcard Sonny Bradley 67'
Championship Gameweek 24
Luton
Jan 25, 2022 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Bristol City
  • Luke Berry 24' yellowcard
  • Tom Lockyer 42' goal
  • Elijah Adebayo 68' goal
  • Peter Kioso 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Andreas Weimann 56'
  • yellowcard Antoine Semenyo 62'
  • yellowcard Cameron Pring 67'
Championship Gameweek 7
Bristol City
Sep 15, 2021 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Luton
  • Cameron Pring 37' yellowcard
  • Nathan Baker 57' goal
  • yellowcard Henri Lansbury 84'
  • yellowcard James Bree 88'
  • goal Danny Hylton 90'+1'
Championship Gameweek 44
Bristol City
Apr 25, 2021 1.00pm
2
3
HT : 2 0
FT Ashton Gate Stadium
Luton
  • Nahki Wells 31' goal
  • Adam Nagy 38' goal
  • goal James Collins 59'
  • goal Elijah Adebayo 68'
  • goal Harry Cornick 74'
Championship Gameweek 22
Luton
Dec 29, 2020 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Kenilworth Road Stadium
Bristol City
  • Glen Rea 17' goal
  • Ryan Tunnicliffe 34' yellowcard
  • Kiernan Dewsbury-Hall 68' goal
  • goal Sonny Bradley 61' (OG)
  • yellowcard Antoine Semenyo 74'

Form Data

West Brom 2 - 0 Bristol City
Bristol City 1 - 1 QPR
Sunderland 1 - 1 Bristol City
Portsmouth 3 - 0 Bristol City
Bristol City 4 - 0 Plymouth
Watford 1 - 0 Bristol City
Luton 2 - 1 Derby
Blackburn 2 - 0 Luton
Luton 2 - 1 Stoke
Luton 1 - 1 Swansea
Norwich 4 - 2 Luton
Leeds 3 - 0 Luton