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Mads Andersen
37'
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Tom Holmes
89'
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Carlton Morris
90'+2'
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Nat Phillips
41'
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Kayden Jackson
58'
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Callum Elder
67'
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Curtis Nelson
89'
Luton Town vs Derby County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 47.64%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 26.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.17%) and 2-0 (8.92%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Luton Town in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Luton Town.
Result
Both Teams to Score:
Goals
Luton Town Goals
Derby County Goals
Score analysis
2-1 @ 9.17% ▲ (+0.04)
2-0 @ 8.92% ▲ (+0.33)
3-1 @ 4.53% ▲ (+0.05)
3-0 @ 4.41% ▲ (+0.19)
3-2 @ 2.33% ▼ (-0.06)
4-1 @ 1.68% ▲ (+0.03)
4-0 @ 1.63% ▲ (+0.08)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 47.64%
0-0 @ 8.13% ▲ (+0.21)
2-2 @ 4.72% ▼ (-0.14)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 26.1%
1-2 @ 6.37% ▼ (-0.22)
0-2 @ 4.3% ▼ (-0.17)
1-3 @ 2.18% ▼ (-0.15)
2-3 @ 1.62% ▼ (-0.11)
0-3 @ 1.47% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 26.25%
Max Lowe
88'