Championship

Championship | Gameweek 19

Dec 7, 2024 at 12.30pm UK

Elland Road

Leeds
2 - 0
Derby

Rodon (39'), Wober (44')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Jackson (15')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Leeds United and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

All competitions

Last Game: Blackburn 1-0 Leeds
Saturday, November 30 at 1.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Derby County

All competitions

Last Game: Derby 1-2 Sheff Weds
Sunday, December 1 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 70.37%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 11.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.15%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.76%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Leeds United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Leeds United.

Result
Leeds United	Draw	Derby County
70.37% ( -0.38)	18.46% ( 0.38)	11.17% ( -0)

Both teams to score 45.42% (

-1.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.82% (

-1.68)

45.18% (

1.68)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.47% (

-1.63)

67.52% (

1.63)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.39% (

-0.57)

11.61% (

0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

63.4% (

-1.24)

36.6% (

1.24)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.39% (

-1.08)

48.61% (

1.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.32% (

-0.79)

83.68% (

0.79)

Score Analysis

Leeds United 70.37%

Derby County 11.17%

Draw 18.46%

Leeds United	Draw	Derby County
2-0 @ 13.08% ( 0.34) 1-0 @ 12.15% ( 0.59) 2-1 @ 9.44% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 9.39% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.78% ( -0.19) 4-0 @ 5.06% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 3.65% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( -0.15) 5-0 @ 2.18% ( -0.1) 5-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.12) 4-2 @ 1.32% ( -0.11) Other @ 3.32% Total : 70.37%	1-1 @ 8.76% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.4) 2-2 @ 3.4% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.65% Total : 18.46%	0-1 @ 4.07% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 3.16% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.47% Total : 11.17%