Championship Gameweek 19
Leeds
Dec 7, 2024 12.30pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Elland Road
Derby
  • Joe Rodon 39' goal
  • Maximilian Wober 44' goal
  • yellowcard Kayden Jackson 15'

Leeds United vs Derby County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Leeds United

All competitions
Last game
Nov 30, 2024 1.30pm
Blackburn 1 - 0 Leeds
Goals scored
95
Top scorer
Joel Piroe

Derby County

All competitions
Last game
Dec 1, 2024 3.00pm
Derby 1 - 2 Sheff Weds
Goals scored
48
Top scorer
Jerry Yates

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 70.37%. A draw had a probability of 18.5% and a win for Derby County had a probability of 11.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.15%) and 2-1 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.76%), while for a Derby County win it was 0-1 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Leeds United in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Leeds United.

Result

Leeds United 70.37% ▼ (-0.38)
Draw 18.46% ▲ (+0.38)
Derby County 11.17% ▼ (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.42% ▼ (-1.26)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.82% ▼ (-1.68)
Under 2.5 45.18% ▲ (+1.68)
Over 3.5 32.47% ▼ (-1.64)
Under 3.5 67.52% ▲ (+1.63)
Over 4.5 16.42% ▼ (-1.19)
Under 4.5 83.58% ▲ (+1.19)

Leeds United Goals

Over 0.5 88.39% ▼ (-0.58)
Under 0.5 11.61% ▲ (+0.58)
Over 1.5 63.4% ▼ (-1.25)
Under 1.5 36.6% ▲ (+1.25)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5 51.39% ▼ (-1.09)
Under 0.5 48.61% ▲ (+1.08)
Over 1.5 16.32% ▼ (-0.79)
Under 1.5 83.68% ▲ (+0.79)

Score analysis

Leeds United 70.37%
Draw 18.46%
Derby County 11.17%
Leeds United
2-0 @ 13.08% ▲ (+0.34)
1-0 @ 12.15% ▲ (+0.59)
2-1 @ 9.44% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 9.39% ▲ (+0.04)
3-1 @ 6.78% ▼ (-0.19)
4-0 @ 5.06% ▼ (-0.10)
4-1 @ 3.65% ▼ (-0.19)
3-2 @ 2.44% ▼ (-0.15)
5-0 @ 2.18% ▼ (-0.10)
5-1 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.13)
4-2 @ 1.32% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 70.37%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.76% ▲ (+0.17)
0-0 @ 5.64% ▲ (+0.40)
2-2 @ 3.4% ▼ (-0.13)
Other @ 0.65%
Total : 18.46%
Derby County
0-1 @ 4.07% ▲ (+0.17)
1-2 @ 3.16% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 1.47% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 11.17%

Head to Head

Championship Gameweek 45
Derby
Jul 19, 2020 2.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT Pride Park Stadium
Leeds
  • Louie Sibley 43' yellowcard
  • Chris Martin 54' goal
  • goal Pablo Hernandez 56'
  • goal Jamie Shackleton 75'
  • goal Matt Clarke 84' (OG)
Championship Gameweek 8
Leeds
Sep 21, 2019 12.30pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
Derby
  • Max Lowe 20' goal
  • yellowcard Florian Jozefzoon 45'
  • yellowcard Duane Holmes 65'
  • yellowcard Chris Martin 80'
  • yellowcard Tom Huddlestone 87'
  • goal Chris Martin 91'
Championship Playoffs
Leeds
May 15, 2019 7.45pm
2
4
HT : 1 1
FT
Derby
  • Pablo Hernandez 20' yellowcard
  • Stuart Dallas 24' goal
  • Kalvin Phillips 27' yellowcard
  • Patrick Bamford 31' yellowcard
  • Liam Cooper 57' yellowcard
  • Stuart Dallas 62' goal
  • Gaetano Berardi 69' yellowcard
  • Gaetano Berardi 78' redcard
  • yellowcard Fikayo Tomori 5'
  • yellowcard Scott Malone 20'
  • yellowcard Tom Lawrence 20'
  • goal Jack Marriott 45'
  • goal Mason Mount 46'
  • goal Harry Wilson 58'
  • yellowcard Mason Mount 65'
  • goal Jack Marriott 85'
  • redcard Scott Malone 91'
Championship Playoffs
Derby
May 11, 2019 5.15pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Leeds
  • Tom Lawrence 55' yellowcard
  • Richard Keogh 67' yellowcard
  • Duane Holmes 68' yellowcard
  • Tom Huddlestone 89' yellowcard
  • goal Kemar Roofe 55'
  • yellowcard Gaetano Berardi 63'
  • yellowcard Liam Cooper 65'
  • yellowcard Mateusz Klich 87'
Championship Gameweek 27
Leeds
Jan 11, 2019 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Elland Road (Leeds, West Yorkshire)
Derby
  • Kemar Roofe 20' goal
  • Jack Harrison 47' goal
  • Kemar Roofe 54' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Andre Wisdom 15'
  • yellowcard George Evans 45'
  • yellowcard Duane Holmes 45'
  • yellowcard Martyn Waghorn 90'
Championship Gameweek 2
Derby
Aug 11, 2018 5.30pm
1
4
HT : 1 2
FT Pride Park Stadium (Derby)
Leeds
  • Tom Lawrence 12' goal
  • Joe Ledley 41' yellowcard
  • Richard Keogh 42' yellowcard
  • Martyn Waghorn 64' yellowcard
  • Max Lowe 81' yellowcard
  • goal Mateusz Klich 5'
  • goal Kemar Roofe 21'
  • goal Kemar Roofe 60'
  • goal Ezgjan Alioski 64'
  • yellowcard Patrick Bamford 90'
  • yellowcard Ezgjan Alioski 90'

Form Data

Blackburn 1 - 0 Leeds
Leeds 3 - 0 Luton
Swansea 3 - 4 Leeds
Leeds 2 - 0 QPR
Millwall 1 - 0 Leeds
Leeds 3 - 0 Plymouth
Derby 1 - 2 Sheff Weds
Derby 1 - 2 Swansea
Preston 1 - 1 Derby
Derby 1 - 1 Plymouth
Coventry 1 - 2 Derby
Stoke 2 - 1 Derby