Championship

Championship | Gameweek 18

Dec 1, 2024 at 3pm UK

Pride Park Stadium

Derby
1 - 2
Sheff Weds

Adams (9')
Adams (37'), Harness (47'), Osborn (71'), Elder (85'), Jackson (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Bannan (64'), Lowe (90+4')
Bannan (21')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Derby County and Sheffield Wednesday, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions

Last Game: Derby 1-2 Swansea
Wednesday, November 27 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Sheffield Wednesday

All competitions

Championship

Last Game: Hull City 0-2 Sheff Weds
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 51.64%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Sheffield Wednesday had a probability of 23.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.65%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%), while for a Sheffield Wednesday win it was 0-1 (7.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.

Result
Derby County	Draw	Sheffield Wednesday
51.64% ( -0.17)	25.04% ( 0.24)	23.32% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 49.96% (

-0.78)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.7% (

-0.99)

52.29% (

0.99)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.01% (

-0.86)

73.99% (

0.86)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.75% (

-0.46)

20.24% (

0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.42% (

-0.74)

52.58% (

0.74)

Sheffield Wednesday Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.65% (

-0.61)

37.35% (

0.61)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.86% (

-0.61)

74.13% (

0.61)

Score Analysis

Derby County 51.64%

Sheffield Wednesday 23.32%

Draw 25.03%

Derby County	Draw	Sheffield Wednesday
1-0 @ 12.07% ( 0.3) 2-0 @ 9.65% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 5.14% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.06% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 2.49% ( -0.09) 4-0 @ 2.05% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.02% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 1% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.67% Total : 51.64%	1-1 @ 11.89% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 7.56% ( 0.29) 2-2 @ 4.68% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.9% Total : 25.03%	0-1 @ 7.45% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 3.67% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.68% Total : 23.32%