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Championship | Gameweek 18
Nov 30, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
Ewood Park
Leeds logo

Blackburn
1 - 0
Leeds

Cantwell (22' pen.)
Travis (54'), Dolan (62')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bogle (23'), Ramazani (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Middlesbrough 0-1 Blackburn
Wednesday, November 27 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 3-0 Luton
Wednesday, November 27 at 7.45pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 51.46%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 23.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.59%) and 0-2 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for a Blackburn Rovers win it was 1-0 (7.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawLeeds United
23.94% (1.792 1.79)24.6% (1.508 1.51)51.46% (-3.303 -3.3)
Both teams to score 51.98% (-2.608 -2.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.02% (-4.519 -4.52)49.97% (4.516 4.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.04% (-4.17 -4.17)71.96% (4.168 4.17)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.5% (-0.866 -0.87)35.5% (0.864 0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.73% (-0.906 -0.91)72.27% (0.90300000000001 0.9)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.59% (-2.924 -2.92)19.41% (2.921 2.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.77% (-5.024 -5.02)51.22% (5.022 5.02)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 23.94%
    Leeds United 51.46%
    Draw 24.59%
Blackburn RoversDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 7.14% (1.081 1.08)
2-1 @ 6.06% (0.272 0.27)
2-0 @ 3.7% (0.486 0.49)
3-1 @ 2.09% (0.046 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.71% (-0.129 -0.13)
3-0 @ 1.28% (0.141 0.14)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 23.94%
1-1 @ 11.69% (0.78 0.78)
0-0 @ 6.89% (1.18 1.18)
2-2 @ 4.97% (-0.25 -0.25)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.17 -0.17)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.59%
0-1 @ 11.29% (1 1)
1-2 @ 9.59% (-0.247 -0.25)
0-2 @ 9.26% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 5.24% (-0.67 -0.67)
0-3 @ 5.06% (-0.514 -0.51)
2-3 @ 2.71% (-0.42 -0.42)
1-4 @ 2.15% (-0.516 -0.52)
0-4 @ 2.07% (-0.439 -0.44)
2-4 @ 1.11% (-0.3 -0.3)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 51.46%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Leeds

Blackburn Rovers
17.3%
Draw
15.4%
Leeds United
67.3%
52
Head to Head
Apr 13, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 43
Leeds
0-1
Blackburn

Fernandez (90+7')
Szmodics (82')
Carter (28'), Dolan (42'), Tronstad (47'), Pears (85')
Dec 9, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 20
Blackburn
0-2
Leeds

Moran (17'), Wharton (65'), Carter (79')
James (27'), Summerville (75')
Gray (63'), Ampadu (85')
Jul 28, 2021 7.30pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Blackburn
1-1
Leeds
McBride (72')
Struijk (80')
Jul 4, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 41
Blackburn
1-3
Leeds
Nov 9, 2019 3pm
Gameweek 16
Leeds
2-1
Blackburn