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Championship | Gameweek 18
Nov 30, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
Ewood Park
Leeds logo

Blackburn
1 - 0
Leeds

Cantwell (22' pen.)
Travis (54'), Dolan (62')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Bogle (23'), Ramazani (73')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Leeds United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Middlesbrough 0-1 Blackburn
Wednesday, November 27 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 3-0 Luton
Wednesday, November 27 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Blackburn Rovers 0-2 Leeds United

Blackburn Rovers certainly showed their ability to compete with the Championship's stronger sides in their away win over Middlesbrough, but they face another tricky test on Saturday. With Leeds United growing in confidence and boasting plenty of quality all over the pitch, we back Farke's men to continue their winning run at Ewood Park. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Leeds United win with a probability of 51.46%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 23.94%.

The most likely scoreline for a Leeds United win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.59%) and 0-2 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for a Blackburn Rovers win it was 1-0 (7.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawLeeds United
23.94% (1.792 1.79) 24.6% (1.508 1.51) 51.46% (-3.303 -3.3)
Both teams to score 51.98% (-2.608 -2.61)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.02% (-4.519 -4.52)49.97% (4.516 4.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.04% (-4.17 -4.17)71.96% (4.168 4.17)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.5% (-0.866 -0.87)35.5% (0.864 0.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.73% (-0.906 -0.91)72.27% (0.90300000000001 0.9)
Leeds United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.59% (-2.924 -2.92)19.41% (2.921 2.92)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.77% (-5.024 -5.02)51.22% (5.022 5.02)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 23.94%
    Leeds United 51.46%
    Draw 24.59%
Blackburn RoversDrawLeeds United
1-0 @ 7.14% (1.081 1.08)
2-1 @ 6.06% (0.272 0.27)
2-0 @ 3.7% (0.486 0.49)
3-1 @ 2.09% (0.046 0.05)
3-2 @ 1.71% (-0.129 -0.13)
3-0 @ 1.28% (0.141 0.14)
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 23.94%
1-1 @ 11.69% (0.78 0.78)
0-0 @ 6.89% (1.18 1.18)
2-2 @ 4.97% (-0.25 -0.25)
3-3 @ 0.94% (-0.17 -0.17)
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 24.59%
0-1 @ 11.29% (1 1)
1-2 @ 9.59% (-0.247 -0.25)
0-2 @ 9.26% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 5.24% (-0.67 -0.67)
0-3 @ 5.06% (-0.514 -0.51)
2-3 @ 2.71% (-0.42 -0.42)
1-4 @ 2.15% (-0.516 -0.52)
0-4 @ 2.07% (-0.439 -0.44)
2-4 @ 1.11% (-0.3 -0.3)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 51.46%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Leeds

Blackburn Rovers
17.3%
Draw
15.4%
Leeds United
67.3%
52
Head to Head
Apr 13, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 43
Leeds
0-1
Blackburn

Fernandez (90+7')
Szmodics (82')
Carter (28'), Dolan (42'), Tronstad (47'), Pears (85')
Dec 9, 2023 12.30pm
Gameweek 20
Blackburn
0-2
Leeds

Moran (17'), Wharton (65'), Carter (79')
James (27'), Summerville (75')
Gray (63'), Ampadu (85')
Jul 28, 2021 7.30pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Blackburn
1-1
Leeds
McBride (72')
Struijk (80')
Jul 4, 2020 3pm
Nov 9, 2019 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd20135228111742
2Leeds UnitedLeeds20125336142241
3Burnley2010822471738
4Sunderland20107329151437
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn1910452317634
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2071122314932
7Middlesbrough209473425931
8Watford199462725231
9Swansea CitySwansea207672119227
10Norwich CityNorwich206863530526
11Bristol City206862525026
12Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds207582329-626
13Millwall196762017325
14Preston North EndPreston2041062026-622
15Luton TownLuton2064102335-1222
16Coventry CityCoventry205692529-421
17Derby CountyDerby205692226-421
18Stoke CityStoke205692126-521
19Queens Park RangersQPR204972026-621
20Oxford UnitedOxford Utd194692030-1018
21Portsmouth183872130-917
22Cardiff CityCardiff1945101730-1317
23Plymouth ArgylePlymouth1945101940-2117
24Hull City2037101828-1016


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