Championship

Championship | Gameweek 20

Dec 10, 2024 at 7.45pm UK

Turf Moor

Burnley
0 - 0
Derby

Brownhill (80')

Ward (48'), Widell Zetterstrom (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Burnley and Derby County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burnley

All competitions

Last Game: Burnley 1-1 Middlesbrough
Friday, December 6 at 8pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Derby County

All competitions

Last Game: Leeds 2-0 Derby
Saturday, December 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burnley win with a probability of 50.97%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 24.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burnley win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.62%) and 2-0 (8.87%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result
Burnley	Draw	Derby County
50.97% ( -1.06)	24.31% ( 0.15)	24.72% ( 0.91)

Both teams to score 53.7% (

0.53)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.89% (

0.23)

48.11% (

-0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.73% (

0.21)

70.27% (

-0.21)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.12% (

-0.33)

18.88% (

0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.64% (

-0.54)

50.36% (

0.54)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.19% (

0.91)

33.81% (

-0.91)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.53% (

0.98)

70.47% (

-0.98)

Score Analysis

Burnley 50.97%

Derby County 24.72%

Draw 24.32%

Burnley	Draw	Derby County
1-0 @ 10.64% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 9.62% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 8.87% ( -0.27) 3-1 @ 5.34% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 4.93% ( -0.2) 3-2 @ 2.9% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 2.23% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 2.05% ( -0.11) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0) Other @ 3.18% Total : 50.97%	1-1 @ 11.54% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 6.38% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.22% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.32%	0-1 @ 6.92% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 6.26% ( 0.19) 0-2 @ 3.75% ( 0.15) 1-3 @ 2.26% ( 0.12) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 1.36% ( 0.09) Other @ 2.28% Total : 24.72%