Championship

Championship | Gameweek 19

Dec 6, 2024 at 8pm UK

Turf Moor

Burnley
1 - 1
Middlesbrough

Roberts (37')
Mejbri (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Dijksteel (13')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Burnley and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burnley

All competitions

Last Game: Stoke 0-2 Burnley
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in Championship

Goals
for

Top scorers

Middlesbrough

All competitions

Last Game: Middlesbrough 3-1 Hull City
Saturday, November 30 at 12.30pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 43.64%. A win for Burnley had a probability of 31.45% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.07%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Burnley win was 1-0 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Burnley	Draw	Middlesbrough
31.45% ( 1.96)	24.91% ( -0.02)	43.64% ( -1.93)

Both teams to score 56.71% (

1.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.56% (

46.44% (

-1)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.28% (

0.94)

68.72% (

-0.94)

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.07% (

1.83)

27.93% (

-1.83)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.45% (

2.27)

63.55% (

-2.27)

Middlesbrough Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.69% (

-0.45)

21.31% (

0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.74% (

-0.7)

54.26% (

0.7)

Score Analysis

Burnley 31.45%

Middlesbrough 43.64%

Draw 24.91%

Burnley	Draw	Middlesbrough
1-0 @ 7.59% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 7.49% ( 0.34) 2-0 @ 4.84% ( 0.28) 3-1 @ 3.18% ( 0.3) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.2) 3-0 @ 2.06% ( 0.22) 4-1 @ 1.02% ( 0.14) Other @ 2.82% Total : 31.45%	1-1 @ 11.73% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 5.95% ( -0.26) 2-2 @ 5.79% ( 0.19) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.91%	0-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.53) 1-2 @ 9.07% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 7.11% ( -0.51) 1-3 @ 4.68% ( -0.15) 0-3 @ 3.67% ( -0.32) 2-3 @ 2.98% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.81% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.14) 2-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.56% Total : 43.64%