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Oxford United
Championship | Gameweek 16
Nov 23, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Kassam Stadium
Middlesbrough logo

Oxford Utd
2 - 6
Middlesbrough

Leigh (24'), Scarlett (72')
Moore (35')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Latte Lath (37' pen., 45', 49'), Azaz (42', 83'), Conway (80')
Azaz (27'), Borges (60'), Edmundson (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Oxford United and Middlesbrough, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Watford 1-0 Oxford Utd
Friday, November 8 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 5-1 Luton
Saturday, November 9 at 12.30pm in Championship

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 57.92%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 19.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.64%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for a Oxford United win it was 1-0 (6.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.

Result
Oxford UnitedDrawMiddlesbrough
19.07% (0.0030000000000001 0)23% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)57.92% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)
Both teams to score 50.2% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)48.97% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.94% (0.0030000000000001 0)71.06% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Oxford United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.22% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)39.78% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.55% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)76.44% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.36% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)16.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.53% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)46.46% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Oxford United 19.07%
    Middlesbrough 57.91%
    Draw 23%
Oxford UnitedDrawMiddlesbrough
1-0 @ 6.1%
2-1 @ 5.04% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 2.81% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 1.55% (0.0010000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 1.39%
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 19.07%
1-1 @ 10.94%
0-0 @ 6.61% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 4.52%
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 23%
0-1 @ 11.86%
0-2 @ 10.64%
1-2 @ 9.81%
0-3 @ 6.37% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 5.87%
0-4 @ 2.86%
2-3 @ 2.71% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 2.63%
2-4 @ 1.21%
0-5 @ 1.02%
1-5 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 57.91%

How you voted: Oxford Utd vs Middlesbrough

Oxford United
28.9%
Draw
26.7%
Middlesbrough
44.4%
45
Head to Head
Jul 12, 2017 7.30pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Middlesbrough
0-0
Oxford Utd
Feb 18, 2017 3pm
Fifth Round
Middlesbrough
3-2
Oxford Utd
Leadbitter (26' pen.), Gestede (34'), Stuani (86')
Ayala (62'), Chambers (71'), Negredo (92')
Maguire (64'), Martinez (66')
Ledson (76'), Johnson (94')
rhs 2.0


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