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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 57.92%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 19.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.64%) and 1-2 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.94%), while for a Oxford United win it was 1-0 (6.1%). The actual scoreline of 2-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Oxford United | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 19.07% ( | 23% ( | 57.92% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.2% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.02% ( | 48.97% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.94% ( | 71.06% ( |
| Oxford United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.22% ( | 39.78% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.55% ( | 76.44% ( |
| Middlesbrough Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.36% ( | 16.63% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.53% ( | 46.46% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Oxford United | Draw | Middlesbrough |
| 1-0 @ 6.1% 2-1 @ 5.04% ( 2-0 @ 2.81% ( 3-1 @ 1.55% ( 3-2 @ 1.39% Other @ 2.18% Total : 19.07% | 1-1 @ 10.94% 0-0 @ 6.61% ( 2-2 @ 4.52% Other @ 0.92% Total : 23% | 0-1 @ 11.86% 0-2 @ 10.64% 1-2 @ 9.81% 0-3 @ 6.37% ( 1-3 @ 5.87% 0-4 @ 2.86% 2-3 @ 2.71% ( 1-4 @ 2.63% 2-4 @ 1.21% 0-5 @ 1.02% 1-5 @ 0.94% Other @ 1.99% Total : 57.91% |