Championship

Championship | Gameweek 21

Dec 13, 2024 at 8pm UK

Pride Park Stadium

Derby
4 - 0
Portsmouth

Wilson (8'), Cashin (23'), Adams (29'), Pack (65' og.)

FT(HT: 3-0)

McIntyre (84')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Championship clash between Derby County and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Derby County

All competitions

Last Game: Burnley 0-0 Derby
Tuesday, December 10 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Portsmouth

All competitions

Last Game: Portsmouth 0-0 Norwich
Tuesday, December 10 at 7.45pm in Championship

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Derby County win with a probability of 52.17%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Portsmouth had a probability of 23.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Derby County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 2-0 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Portsmouth win it was 0-1 (7.15%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Derby County would win this match.

Result
Derby County	Draw	Portsmouth
52.17% ( 0.22)	24.63% ( -0.09)	23.19% ( -0.13)

Both teams to score 51.04% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.2% (

0.22)

50.8% (

-0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.31% (

0.2)

72.69% (

-0.2)

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.55% (

0.17)

19.45% (

-0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.71% (

0.28)

51.29% (

-0.28)

Portsmouth Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.36% (

36.63% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.58% (

73.42% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Derby County 52.17%

Portsmouth 23.19%

Draw 24.63%

Derby County	Draw	Portsmouth
1-0 @ 11.66% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 9.55% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.24% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 5.21% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.14% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 2.13% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.94% Total : 52.17%	1-1 @ 11.71% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.12% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 4.82% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.98% Total : 24.63%	0-1 @ 7.15% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.59% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.97% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.78% Total : 23.19%