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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 38.14%. A win for Hull City had a probability of 35.87% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest Hull City win was 1-0 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hull City | Draw | Swansea City |
| 35.87% ( | 25.99% ( | 38.14% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.23% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.84% ( | 50.15% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.88% ( | 72.12% ( |
| Hull City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73% ( | 27% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.65% ( | 62.35% ( |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.29% ( | 25.71% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.37% ( | 60.63% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Hull City | Draw | Swansea City |
| 1-0 @ 9.09% ( 2-1 @ 8.08% ( 2-0 @ 5.95% ( 3-1 @ 3.53% ( 3-0 @ 2.6% ( 3-2 @ 2.4% ( 4-1 @ 1.16% ( Other @ 3.07% Total : 35.87% | 1-1 @ 12.34% ( 0-0 @ 6.94% ( 2-2 @ 5.49% ( 3-3 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.98% | 0-1 @ 9.43% ( 1-2 @ 8.39% ( 0-2 @ 6.4% ( 1-3 @ 3.8% ( 0-3 @ 2.9% ( 2-3 @ 2.49% ( 1-4 @ 1.29% ( 0-4 @ 0.99% ( Other @ 2.47% Total : 38.14% |