Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 38.14%. A win for Hull City had a probability of 35.87% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.39%) and 0-2 (6.4%). The likeliest Hull City win was 1-0 (9.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.