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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 41.22%. A win for Watford had a probability of 33.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Hull City | Draw | Watford |
| 41.22% ( | 25.07% ( | 33.71% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.99% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.56% ( | 46.44% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.28% ( | 68.72% ( |
| Hull City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.55% ( | 22.45% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.01% ( | 55.99% ( |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.49% ( | 26.52% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.29% ( | 61.71% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Hull City | Draw | Watford |
| 1-0 @ 8.89% ( 2-1 @ 8.82% ( 2-0 @ 6.64% ( 3-1 @ 4.39% ( 3-0 @ 3.31% ( 3-2 @ 2.91% ( 4-1 @ 1.64% ( 4-0 @ 1.24% ( 4-2 @ 1.09% ( Other @ 2.29% Total : 41.22% | 1-1 @ 11.8% ( 0-0 @ 5.95% ( 2-2 @ 5.85% ( 3-3 @ 1.29% ( Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.07% | 0-1 @ 7.9% ( 1-2 @ 7.84% ( 0-2 @ 5.25% ( 1-3 @ 3.47% ( 2-3 @ 2.59% ( 0-3 @ 2.32% ( 1-4 @ 1.15% ( Other @ 3.2% Total : 33.71% |