Premier League

Premier League | Gameweek 20

Jan 4, 2025 at 3pm UK

St. Mary's Stadium

Southampton
0 - 5
Brentford

Walker-Peters (22'), Harwood-Bellis (64')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Schade (6'), Mbeumo (62', 69' pen.), Lewis-Potter (90+2'), Wissa (90+4')

The Match

Form, Standings, Stats

Southampton

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Crystal Palace 2-1 Southampton
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Brentford

All competitions

Premier League

Last Game: Brentford 1-3 Arsenal
Wednesday, January 1 at 5.30pm in Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southampton win with a probability of 43.8%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 32.87% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Southampton win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.17%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Brentford win was 1-2 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood.

Result
Southampton	Draw	Brentford
43.8% ( 1.59)	23.33% ( -0.13)	32.87% ( -1.46)

Both teams to score 62.95% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.48% (

0.17)

38.52% (

-0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.18% (

0.18)

60.81% (

-0.18)

Southampton Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82% (

0.74)

17.99% (

-0.73)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.14% (

1.25)

48.85% (

-1.24)

Brentford Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.76% (

-0.73)

23.23% (

0.73)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.86% (

-1.07)

57.14% (

1.08)

Score Analysis

Southampton 43.8%

Brentford 32.87%

Draw 23.33%

Southampton	Draw	Brentford
2-1 @ 8.98% ( 0.15) 1-0 @ 7.17% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 6.15% ( 0.24) 3-1 @ 5.13% ( 0.21) 3-2 @ 3.75% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.21) 4-1 @ 2.2% ( 0.14) 4-2 @ 1.61% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 1.51% ( 0.13) Other @ 3.8% Total : 43.8%	1-1 @ 10.46% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.55% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.18% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.82% ( -0) Other @ 0.32% Total : 23.33%	1-2 @ 7.64% ( -0.22) 0-1 @ 6.1% ( -0.18) 0-2 @ 4.45% ( -0.23) 1-3 @ 3.72% ( -0.19) 2-3 @ 3.19% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.16) 1-4 @ 1.36% ( -0.1) 2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.09% Total : 32.87%